Southampton vs Arsenal FA Cup Quarter Final Predictions – 5 April 2026

1st April 2026

Southampton vs Arsenal FA Cup quarter final preview - stats via Statz

Arsenal travel to Southampton in the final FA Cup quarter-final of the weekend – 20:00 kick-off on Saturday. The Statz H2H page has the preview live now. Arsenal arrive top of the Premier League and in the kind of form that makes them uncomfortable opponents at any venue.

Arsenal Form

Arsenal are 1st in the Premier League with form W W W W D – four wins and a draw in their last five across all competitions. This is not a side that goes through the motions in cup ties. Their season averages tell the full story: 14.6 shots per game, 4.9 on target, just 0.7 goals conceded per game. That defensive number is the standout – Arsenal are the hardest side to score against in the division right now.

Recent results back that up. The Statz data shows Arsenal kept a clean sheet in 40% of their last 10 games while scoring in 90% of them – Over 1.5 Goals has hit in 9 of their last 10 fixtures. Away from home they remain dangerous: 14 shots per game on average in away fixtures, averaging 2 goals for.

Southampton Context

Southampton are in the Premier League relegation zone – the FA Cup represents a genuine chance at silverware that their league campaign can’t offer. They’ll be motivated, well-organised at St. Mary’s, and they beat higher-profile opponents to reach this stage. But the quality gap is significant. Arsenal’s xG data from recent away games – 1.69 against Wolves, 2.22 against Leverkusen – shows they create regardless of venue.

Betting Angle

Arsenal to win is the most obvious call. The value play is Arsenal Win and Under 3.5 Goals – they are a defensively sound side who don’t always need to hammer teams, and Southampton will make it hard. Arsenal’s clean sheet rate of 40% makes Arsenal to Win to Nil worth considering at longer odds.

For player-level projections and SOT data, check the Statz Bet Builder Tool ahead of Saturday. Gabriel Martinelli ranks in the top 5 for FA Cup SOT this season with 4 – a consistent bet builder option when fit and starting.

Verdict

Arsenal are in the form of their season. Southampton are fighting for survival in the league and unlikely to risk everything in a cup tie. Expect a controlled Arsenal win. Arsenal to Win, possibly to Nil.