Real Madrid vs Juventus Betting Tips: Club World Cup Round of 16

1st July 2025

The second all-European clash of the FIFA Club World Cup knockout stage kicks off Tuesday in Miami, as Real Madrid face Juventus at 8pm BST. With the last two round of 16 games seeing two European sides, including tournament favourite Man City, eliminated, both Real and Juve may take some comfort in facing familiar opposition. Real Madrid topped Group H with wins over Pachuca and Salzburg, alongside a draw against Al Hilal, while Juventus finished second behind Manchester City in Group G. The Spanish giants enter as favourites, with a potential heavyweight semi-final showdown against PSG or Bayern looming. However, with both teams still adjusting to new management/players, this could be tighter than the betting markets suggest. Statz.ai rates a 1-1 draw as the most likely outcome, making extra time a real possibility—just as we’ve seen in three knockout ties already, though a penalty shootout has yet to occur this tournament. Read on for some more Real Madrid vs Juventus Betting Tips.

Card Value in Madrid vs Juve? Fouls Yes, Yellows Maybe

Real Madrid have the second-fewest bookings in the tournament with just one yellow card across their three matches, and referee Szymon Marciniak, who oversees this clash, handed out just one yellow and 16 fouls in his only other Club World Cup game so far. According to statz.ai, a booking apiece and over 22 fouls look likely, with Real’s Aurélien Tchouaméni and Juve’s Conceição the top candidates to go into the book—a @16/1 double worth a long-shot look. If Madrid stick with the 3-5-2, Tchouaméni could feature in the backline and will be up against dangerous dribblers like Kolo Muani, Yıldız and Conceição, making his single booking odds of @9/2 (Bet365) decent value. Conceição, who draws the most fouls for Juve, could be the trigger. For fouls markets, a combination of projected single fouls from likely starters McKennie, Muani, Thuram, Kelly and Locatelli pays 8/5 (Bet365), and could be a sharp angle in bet builders. Juve are expected to foul almost double the number of Real – 14 to 8.

Tactical Tussle

Both Real Madrid and Juventus may line up with a back three in this Club World Cup quarter-final, and Statz.ai projects an even 16 tackles apiece. For Real, Fran García and Jude Bellingham lead the way in tackle stats over the last ten matches, with García particularly consistent. Juventus counters with Manuel Locatelli and Khéphren Thuram—both projected for two tackles each. Thuram, in particular, is a high-ceiling option, having made five tackles in each of his last two full 90-minute outings.

Best Player Angles

For the final one of our Real Madrid vs Juventus Betting Tips, if leaning toward a Real Madrid victory, then goalkeeper Michele Di Gregorio’s save line could offer value. The Juve keeper is priced at 4/6 (Bet365) to make four or more saves—a mark he smashed with seven stops against Manchester City. He currently ranks third overall in saves per 90 in the tournament, making this a solid supporting angle for bet builders. Juve fouls and tackles are the most tempting addition to bet builders with a long shot Tchouaméni yellow card option also available.