PSG vs Real Madrid Betting Tips: Club World Cup 2025 Semi Final Preview

8th July 2025

PSG vs Real Madrid Betting Tips

Will the Established Giants Halt PSG’s Youthful Revolution? PSG vs Real Madrid Betting Tips, full preview, betting angles, and key players.

The second semi-final of the FIFA Club World Cup 2025 sees Real Madrid take on Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) at MetLife Stadium on Wednesday night (8pm BST). Both sides come into this one in strong form after impressive wins over Bundesliga opposition in the quarter-finals. Statz.ai gives a slight edge to PSG, but the margins are extremely tight—this semi-final could go either way.

Tackle Angles: High-Pressing Systems Create Opportunities

Both teams operate with high-intensity pressing systems that naturally lead to high tackle counts across the pitch, which is also expected in this encounter. Real Madrid’s Fran García has stood out with strong tackle numbers throughout the tournament, while PSG duo João Neves and Nuno Mendes each registered five tackles in their quarter-final win over Bayern Munich.

Looking at projections, Doue, Mendes, and Kvaratskhelia all hover around the 2+ mark for PSG. On the Madrid side, García is joined by Jude Bellingham, Arda Güler, and Trent Alexander-Arnold as likely candidates to hit that same line. With several players priced short for individual tackles, combining two or three in a bet builder could be a smart way to extract value from this market.

Tackle Bet Builder

Attacking Angles: Shot Consistency Offers Value on Both Sides

With attacking quality in abundance, both Real Madrid and PSG bring serious firepower into this semi-final. Gonzalo García is an eye-catching option at 21/10 to score anytime—he’s been a revelation so far and a goal here could send him clear at the top of the tournament scoring charts. While Jude Bellingham and Arda Güler project slightly higher for goals, Federico Valverde may offer the best value from a shot on target perspective. The Uruguayan is priced at 5/6 (Bet365) and leads Real Madrid in shots on target this tournament, registering at least one in all five of his appearances. He also ranks third-highest among Madrid players in projected SoT.

For PSG, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia has been equally reliable—he’s had at least one shot on target in every match so far, landing two in half of them. Desire Doue also shows promise in this market, hitting the target in four of his five starts. Both project close to one SoT again here, making them solid options in shot-based bet builders.

SoT Bet Builder

Booking Watch

Polish referee Szymon Marciniak takes charge of this semi-final, but he’s only issued one yellow in each of his two group stage games. Both sides rank relatively low for fouls, each averaging around one booking per match over their last ten games.

Replacements like in the Fluminense game could offer more value. For PSG, Lucas Beraldo steps into the starting XI due to suspension and tops the caution forecast for the French side. Similarly, Raúl Asencio is expected to feature in defence for Real Madrid and projects second-highest for the Spanish club—just behind Jude Bellingham. Both Real players have committed the most fouls per game over the last ten games and should be in amongst the action here. In terms of PSG vs Real Madrid betting tips around bookings, look no further than –

Booking Bets (Bet365)

Best Markets

Shots on target and tackle present better opportunity than the card market. Given the likelihood for attacking football the goalscorer market is also a tempting add to any bet builder in what should be an entertaining contest.