PSG vs Bayern Betting Tips: Club World Cup 2025 Quarter Final Preview

5th July 2025

PSG vs Bayern Betting Tips

Saturday night’s blockbuster in Atlanta sees France’s Paris Saint-Germain take on Germany’s Bayern Munich at 5pm BST, with a semi-final spot up for grabs. Both sides have shown flashes of quality in the group stage but have also tasted defeat, leaving this knockout clash wide open. The winner will face either Real Madrid or Borussia Dortmund. According to Statz.ai, the match promises a tightly contested battle with key stats almost neck and neck, though Bayern hold a slight edge in the all-important goal projections. Read on for more PSG vs Bayern Betting Tips.

High-Octane Clash Expected
Paris Saint-Germain are at full strength following the return of Ousmane Dembélé in the Round of 16, and the French winger leads the goalscoring projections alongside Bayern Munich striker Harry Kane in what’s set to be one of the standout fixtures of this FiFA Club World Cup. Both sides are packed with attacking talent—Jamal Musiala continues to be a key threat for Bayern, while Achraf Hakimi and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia offer pace and penetration down the flanks for PSG.

Kvaratskhelia also represents strong value in the tackle market. The former Napoli winger is averaging two tackles per game in this tournament, and with PSG expected to deploy a high press, Bayern’s buildup play could come under serious pressure. That makes the Georgian one of the best-value picks in the tackle projections, with Bet365 pricing him at 4/5 to register 2+ tackles. A Leon Goretzka double tackle at 4/6 (Bet365) also projects well.

Betting Tips and Key Angles

Booking Watch
English referee Anthony Taylor takes charge of this heavyweight clash, and he’s brought a strict approach so far in the tournament—averaging six yellow cards across his two matches. This fixture is projected to see around two bookings per side, which brings the player card markets into sharp focus.

Austrian midfielder Konrad Laimer stands out as the most likely Bayern player to go into the book. He’s been Bayern’s most-carded player across the last 30 matches, and is available at 12/5 with Bet365 to be shown a card—solid value given the matchup and Taylor’s card rate.

Interestingly, Leon Goretzka is marginally ahead of Laimer in the projection models, despite a lower volume of bookings over the same span. For a longer shot double booking at 11/1 for the Bayern pair. For PSG Marquinhos, Neves and Nuno Mendes project best for the French side with the latter picking up a booking in the last meeting between the teams last November.

Final Word
PSG vs Bayern promises to be a thrilling encounter with the current European champions tournament favourites and hard to look past given the way they have been playing and Vincent Kompany’s failure in this season’s Champions League. For the last of our PSG vs Bayern Betting Tips, adding a Kvaratskhelia +2 tackles or Dembele goal could be a way to add value to any bet builder.