Statz Premier League Fouls Bet Builder: Saturday December 20th

12th December 2025

It’s a Premier League fouls bet builder with a twist this week, as players that are one booking away from a suspension may be eyeing the perfect Christmas present to themselves.

Pick up a caution on Saturday and they will be suspended for their side’s next game on December 26-28… allowing them to put their feet up and watch Indiana Jones for the 5,000th time along with the rest of us.

All jokes aside, here’s a 6.5/1 Premier League fouls bet builder that you can back at bet365 with a single click – just tap HERE.

·   Pedro Porro 1+ fouls (Tottenham vs Liverpool)

·   Jorgen Strand Larsen 2+ fouls (Wolves vs Bournemouth)

·   James Garner 2+ fouls (Everton vs Arsenal)

Pedro Porro

Although not a hardman by any means, Pedro Porro has committed one or more fouls in six of his last ten Premier League outings.

He’s one yellow card away from a suspension over Christmas, so it may be that the Spaniard puts his foot in with gusto against Liverpool on Saturday.

The Reds are struggling with injuries, but will still likely field Florian Wirtz and Milos Kerkez down their left side, while the in-form Hugo Ekitike also has a habit of occupying from a wide left position.

Jorgen Strand Larsen

We backed Jorgen Strand Larsen to deliver 2+ fouls in this column a week ago, but sadly he was only able to deliver one against Arsenal.

But, back on home soil, we can go in again, as the Norwegian striker looks to make his mark in front of the Molineux faithful.

On Statz’s player pages, you can look at various stat categories and toggle between a home and away viewpoint. For Strand Larsen, his foul count in his last five Premier League games at Molineux reads 3-2-2-1-2.

Expect his blood to be pumping on Saturday once again…

James Garner

At a price of 8/5, James Garner adds plenty of meat to our bet builder – he’s one yellow card from suspension, remember.

Everton will be without Iliman Ndiaye, Idrissa Gueye and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall for their clash with Arsenal, while Jack Grealish is an injury doubt.

The Gunners will likely dominate the ball then and spend most of the game in Everton’s half, leaving Garner to get through a lot of work in midfield.He’s committed 2+ fouls in three of his last five games; notably each of those was against a strong attacking side in Chelsea, Bournemouth and Manchester United.

December 13th

We had a nice 5/1 winner in this column last Saturday, as Kyle Walker and Nicolo Savona obliged with 2+ fouls in their respective games (the Tyler Adams selection was void as he didn’t start).

Those picks were based on the learnings of our AI model, as well as some ‘human’ context. So, in that spirit, let’s look to double up with our latest Premier League fouls bet builder for Saturday December 13.

This week’s selections pay at 7.2/1. And you can back this bet builder at bet365 with a single click HERE.

·   Milos Kerkez 1+ fouls (Liverpool vs Brighton)

·   Andre 2+ fouls (Wolves vs Arsenal)

·   Jorgen Strand Larsen 2+ fouls (Wolves vs Arsenal)

Milos Kerkez

Although not a prolific fouler, Milos Kerkez has still delivered for 1+ backers in three of his last five starts.

Sometimes, the match-up informs the bet. And on Saturday, Kerkez will find himself one on one with Brighton’s flying right winger, Yankuba Minteh.

He ranks third in the Premier League this term for dribbles attempted, which will be a key part of Brighton’s strategy at Liverpool as they look to counter attack – Minteh vital in their hopes of carrying the ball upfield.

Kerkez is not the most assured of tacklers at times, and he could be exposed when defending the Seagulls’ counter raids.

Andre

The best team in the Premier League takes on the worst on Saturday evening as Arsenal welcome Wolves to the Emirates Stadium.

Wolves have committed more fouls than any other EPL side this term; a result, you suspect, of how outmatched they find themselves.

They’ll be outmatched against the Gunners, make no mistake, and Andre, in the heart of midfield, will certainly have his hands full with Odegaard, Eze and co.

Andre’s fouls formline reads 3-2-3-0-2, so being able to back him to commit 2+ fouls at odds of 11/8 – away from home against the league leaders, no less – seems like an early Christmas present.

Jorgen Strand Larsen

Which brings us nicely to Jorgen Strand Larsen.

This is a centre forward that loves to throw his weight around: he’s committed 2+ fouls in each of his last four outings, with a string of 3-2-2-2. Perhaps new boss Rob Edwards has got in his ear and told the Norwegian to be more physical?

It’s not impossible that Arsenal will have 60-70% possession here, playing out from the back in their usual style, which could leave Larsen lonely, starved of the ball and frustrated.

The perfect recipe for fouls, then…

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Sat Dec 6th

There’s a magnificent seven Premier League games on Saturday, bookended by away days for Arsenal at Aston Villa and Liverpool at Leeds United.

We’ve used the handy Statz bet builder tool to compile a fouls-based coupon for followers who enjoy a bit of low-level violence of a Saturday afternoon.

It pays at 9.7/1, and you can back it right now at bet365 – with a single click – by tapping HERE.

·   Tyler Adams 2+ fouls (Bournemouth vs Chelsea)

·   Kyle Walker 2+ fouls (Burnley vs Newcastle United)

·   Nicolo Savona 2+ fouls (Nottingham Forest vs Everton)

Tyler Adams

We backed Tyler Adams in this very column on Tuesday, assuming that his love of a foul – and his proximity to Jack Grealish and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall against Everton – would come up trumps.

And it did: Adams committed three fouls against the Toffees, continuing a hit rate of 80% for two or more fouls per game in his last five outings.

The American will be up against one of the Premier League’s most fouled players on Saturday in Joao Pedro, who likes to drop into space and will no doubt find himself in close quarters with Adams.

Bournemouth have committed the second most fouls in the EPL this term, while Chelsea are the third most fouled.

Kyle Walker

We were agog to learn that Kyle Walker is available at odds 2.25/1 to make two or more fouls against Newcastle on Saturday.

His foul formline reads 2-1-3-2-1, which could be improved upon at St James’s Park. Newcastle are outstanding at overloading on the left side, with the potential that in-form Harvey Barnes could be joined in link-up play by Lewis Hall and Joelinton.

Walker’s ageing bones may be in for a tough afternoon then… what a price this is.

Nicolo Savona

Here’s another juicy price…

Nicolo Savona has started the last seven games at right back for Nottingham Forest, recording a foul-per-game string of 2-3-0-0-2-1-1.

So a price of 10/11 on the Italian to commit 2+ fouls feels fair… and especially so when you consider that he will be up against the Premier League’s most fouled player on Saturday.

Jack Grealish has been fouled 40 times this term – at least five times more than anybody else, while Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall is another Everton player that gets fouled a lot… he will be in close proximity to Grealish and Savona in this contest.

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