NOT vs DUR Preview – T20 Blast 2026 | Statz

29th May 2026

Nottinghamshire host Durham in the T20 Blast 2026 on Saturday 31 May (19:30 IST / 15:00 BST). The hosts are rooted to the bottom of the table with two losses from two, while Durham sit pretty in the top four with a perfect record. Something has to give.

Full match data, projections and betting tools: Nottinghamshire vs Durham on Statz.

The Venue

Venue information is currently unavailable from the API. We will update this section closer to the match if details become available.

Form and Table

Nottinghamshire – P2 W0 L2

Nottinghamshire are winless after two matches and sit 17th in the standings on zero points. It has been a rough start.

Durham – P2 W2 L0

Durham have won both their matches so far and are third in the table on 8 points – level with six other sides at the top.

Top 4

Pos Team P W L Pts
1 Northamptonshire 2 2 0 8
2 Surrey 2 2 0 8
3 Durham 2 2 0 8
4 Somerset 2 2 0 8

Head-to-Head

These two have met 8 times since 2022 according to Statz H2H data, and Nottinghamshire lead the record 5-2 (with 1 no result). The last meeting was on 11 July 2025 when Nottinghamshire won by 7 wickets with 8 balls remaining, chasing down Durham’s 156/10 with ease (159/3 in 18.4 overs).

Despite their dreadful start to 2026, Nottinghamshire have been dominant in this fixture historically. That H2H record is worth noting for anyone writing Durham off as certainties here.

Statz Projections

The Statz projections make this one of the tightest matches of the round.

Nottinghamshire bat first: Nottinghamshire 48.4% – Durham 49.6%. First innings projected total: 164.1 (P10: 136, P90: 191). Match total: 317.9.

Durham bat first: Nottinghamshire 48% – Durham 50%. First innings projected total: 166 (P10: 140, P90: 192). Match total: 319.8.

Durham are marginal favourites in both scenarios, but the gap is barely a percentage point. This is as close to a coin flip as it gets.

Competition Leaders

Orange Cap (Most Runs)

  1. Martin Andersson (Derbyshire) – 156 runs, 3 innings
  2. James Rew (Somerset) – 140 runs, 2 innings
  3. Matthew Montgomery (Derbyshire) – 137 runs, 3 innings
  4. Sam Billings (Kent) – 112 runs, 2 innings
  5. Zak Crawley (Kent) – 111 runs, 2 innings

Purple Cap (Most Wickets)

  1. Jack Morley (Derbyshire) – 8 wickets, 3 innings
  2. Duan Jansen (Gloucestershire) – 7 wickets, 2 innings
  3. Fazalhaq Farooqi (Glamorgan) – 6 wickets, 2 innings
  4. Martin Andersson (Derbyshire) – 6 wickets, 3 innings
  5. Scott Currie (Hampshire) – 6 wickets, 2 innings

Per-Team Leaders

Nottinghamshire – Runs: George Munsey leads with 65 runs at an average of 32.5 (HS: 37).
Nottinghamshire – Wickets: Mohammad Ali tops the charts with 3 wickets.
Durham – Runs: Alex Lees is the standout with 99 runs at 49.5 (HS: 54).
Durham – Wickets: Callum Parkinson leads with 5 wickets at an average of 2.5 (best: 3/?).

Predicted XIs

Nottinghamshire (based on 25 May vs Lancashire)

  1. George Munsey
  2. Joe Clarke (c)
  3. Jack Haynes
  4. Freddie McCann
  5. Tom Moores (wk)
  6. Benny Howell
  7. George Linde
  8. Joe Pocklington
  9. Farhan Ahmed
  10. Dillon Pennington
  11. Mohammad Ali

Durham (based on 24 May vs Leicestershire)

  1. Alex Lees (c)
  2. Graham Clark
  3. Colin Ackermann
  4. Will Rhodes
  5. David Bedingham (wk)
  6. Ollie George Robinson (wk)
  7. Ben Raine
  8. Matty Potts
  9. Kasey Aldridge
  10. Nathan Sowter
  11. Callum Parkinson

Dream11 Tips

Captain: Ben Raine (90.9 projected D11 points) – The Durham allrounder is the top-scoring projection in this match by some distance. Projected 12.2 runs and 1.49 wickets with an economy of 7.88 – he contributes across disciplines.

Vice-Captain: Matty Potts (82.7 projected D11 points) – England’s pace bowler is projected 1.44 wickets with useful lower-order runs (6.2 projected). His economy of 8.7 is the only slight concern.

Top picks:

All five picks are confirmed in the most recent XI for their respective sides.

Key Players

Ben Raine (Durham) – Allrounder

The highest projected Dream11 scorer in this match at 90.9 points. Raine has taken 3 wickets this T20 Blast season and chips in with the bat too. His projected strike rate of 136.9 suggests he is more than a bits-and-pieces option – he is a genuine match-winner.

Alex Lees (Durham) – Captain, Top-Order Batter

Lees has been the anchor for Durham’s batting this season with 99 runs at an average of 49.5 and a high score of 54. He is providing the platform that lets the rest of the lineup play freely around him. The captain leads from the front.

George Munsey (Nottinghamshire) – Opener

Munsey is Nottinghamshire’s leading run scorer in the competition with 65 runs at 32.5. His projected 34.9 runs and 139.3 strike rate make him the most explosive batting option for the hosts. If Nottinghamshire are going to win this, Munsey firing at the top is the most likely route.

Matty Potts (Durham) – Pace Bowler

Potts has 4 wickets this season and is projected at 82.7 Dream11 points – second only to Raine. England’s seamer brings pace, bounce and wicket-taking ability. His best figures of 3 wickets in a match show he can be devastating on his day.

Conditions

Weather and pitch information is currently unavailable. We will update closer to the match.

Verdict

Durham are marginal favourites with a 50% win probability according to Statz projections, but this is essentially a coin flip. The numbers barely separate these two sides.

Durham have the form – two wins from two, batting depth led by Alex Lees (99 runs at 49.5), and a potent bowling attack featuring Callum Parkinson (5 wickets) and Matty Potts (4 wickets). Nottinghamshire, on the other hand, are winless in 2026 but hold a commanding 5-2 head-to-head advantage. That record matters.

Durham’s all-round balance tips the scales slightly, but do not discount the hosts. Nottinghamshire chased down Durham just last July with 8 balls to spare. The projected first innings total of 164-166 suggests a competitive but chaseable target either way.

For betting angles, check the Statz Bet Builder for the latest player prop options and hit rates.