Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rockets Prediction, Projections & Preview

29th July 2026

Manchester Super Giants host Trent Rockets at the 14th Match of The Hundred 2026 on Thursday 31 July at 17:30 BST. Both sides sit on 8 points from 3 matches, level on points but separated by net run rate – MSG hold 1st on +1.997 while Rockets occupy 2nd on +1.033. This is a crucial mid-tournament clash with playoff qualification very much in the balance.

For full head-to-head records, live projections and confirmed lineups, check the Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rockets fixture page on Statz.

Form and Table Position

Manchester Super Giants – 1st (P3 W2 L1, 8 pts, NRR +1.997)

MSG have made a strong start to their Hundred campaign. They won their opening two matches convincingly – a 87-run demolition of Birmingham Phoenix on 26 July and a 7-wicket victory over London Spirit on 23 July – before suffering their first defeat to Southern Brave on 28 July by 3 runs. That loss came in a close contest where MSG scored 181/3 and Brave replied with 184/2, a narrow margin that shows the quality of opposition they face.

Trent Rockets – 2nd (P3 W2 L1, 8 pts, NRR +1.033)

Rockets have matched MSG’s record exactly – two wins and one loss from three matches. They beat Welsh Fire by 4 runs on 29 July (126/1 in 72 balls), won against London Spirit by 1 run on 26 July (160/6 vs 159/9), and suffered a 10-run loss to Birmingham Phoenix on 24 July (204/7 vs 214/4). Their wins have been tight affairs, showing a side that can execute under pressure.

Head-to-Head

Trent Rockets hold a commanding record in this fixture. From six meetings, Rockets have won five to MSG’s one. In their last five encounters, Rockets have won four times, with MSG’s sole victory coming in one of those five. The recent dominance is stark – Rockets have proven themselves the superior side in this matchup, though MSG’s current form and home advantage could shift the narrative.

Statz Projections

The Statz projections make this a coin-flip contest with a slight edge to Trent Rockets.

If Manchester Super Giants bat first: Projected first-innings total of 139.4, match total of 270.1. Win probability – MSG 42.7%, Rockets 50.8%, tie/no result 6.5%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 116 to 163.

If Trent Rockets bat first: Projected first-innings total of 140.8, match total of 271.4. Win probability – MSG 42.3%, Rockets 51.2%, tie/no result 6.5%. First-innings P10-P90 range: 118 to 163.

The projected match totals of 270-271 suggest a moderately paced Hundred contest. Both teams are rated as evenly matched bowling units, with the Statz model giving Rockets a consistent 51% win probability regardless of who bats first. The first-innings projections of around 140 indicate a balanced pitch where neither batting nor bowling dominance is expected.

Competition Season Leaders

Orange Cap – Top 5 Run-Scorers

1. Ben Duckett (Trent Rockets) – 175 runs from 3 innings, average 58.33, HS 75

2. Mitchell Marsh (Sunrisers Leeds) – 173 runs from 3 innings, average 57.67, HS 73

3. Jos Buttler (Manchester Super Giants) – 169 runs from 3 innings, average 56.33, HS 90

4. Rachin Ravindra (Welsh Fire) – 138 runs from 3 innings, average 46.0, HS 64

5. Tom Banton (Trent Rockets) – 121 runs from 3 innings, average 40.33, HS 67

Purple Cap – Top 5 Wicket-Takers

1. Richard Gleeson (MI London) – 7 wickets from 3 innings

2. Sonny Baker (Manchester Super Giants) – 5 wickets from 3 innings

3. Sam Curran (MI London) – 4 wickets from 3 innings

4. Liam Dawson (Manchester Super Giants) – 4 wickets from 3 innings

5. Adil Rashid (Southern Brave) – 4 wickets from 3 innings

Predicted Lineups

Manchester Super Giants (based on most recent XI)

  1. Aiden Markram (c)
  2. Tim Seifert
  3. Jos Buttler (wk)
  4. Heinrich Klaasen
  5. Leus du Plooy
  6. Tom Moores
  7. Liam Dawson
  8. Gus Atkinson
  9. Noor Ahmad
  10. Josh Tongue
  11. Sonny Baker

Trent Rockets (based on most recent XI)

  1. Ben Duckett
  2. Finn Allen
  3. Tom Banton
  4. Tim David
  5. Sam Billings (c, wk)
  6. Mitchell Santner
  7. Lewis Gregory
  8. Craig Overton
  9. Calvin Harrison
  10. Matt Henry
  11. Mohammad Amir

These lineups are based on the most recent match for each team. Always check the fixture page on Statz for toss updates and confirmed XIs on match day.

Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain

Captain: Josh Tongue (MSG) – projected 70.8 fantasy points. The fast bowler has taken 4 wickets in 3 matches and projects for 2.13 wickets in this fixture. His projected economy of 10.73 is tight, and he offers consistent points across both batting and bowling contributions.

Vice Captain: Jos Buttler (MSG) – projected 64.2 fantasy points when MSG bat first. The England batter has 169 runs at 56.33 this season with a high score of 90. Projected for 39 runs in this match, he is the most bankable batting option in the fixture.

Also consider:

Key Players

Ben Duckett (Trent Rockets)

The Rockets opener is in phenomenal form. With 175 runs from just 3 innings at an average of 58.33 and a high score of 75, Duckett sits atop the Orange Cap race. He has scored 20+ runs in all three matches this season – a 100% hit rate that is extraordinary. His last three scores of 49, 75 and 51 show a batter who is consistently dominant at the top of the order. Against MSG’s bowling attack, Duckett will be the key wicket.

Jos Buttler (Manchester Super Giants)

MSG’s talisman has 169 runs at 56.33 with a high score of 90. Buttler has hit 20+ runs in two of his three matches (66.7% hit rate) and brings world-class experience to the middle order. His 5 catches also show his value across all facets. Against Rockets’ bowling, Buttler’s ability to accelerate in the middle overs will be crucial.

Sonny Baker (Manchester Super Giants)

The fast bowler has taken 5 wickets in 3 matches and sits joint-second in the Purple Cap race. Baker has taken at least one wicket in every match this season (100% hit rate) and has taken 2+ wickets in two of his three outings (66.7% hit rate). His consistency with the ball makes him a key factor in MSG’s bowling attack.

Tom Banton (Trent Rockets)

The Rockets batter has 121 runs at 40.33 from 3 matches with a high score of 67. Banton has scored 20+ runs in all three matches (100% hit rate) and 30+ runs in two of them (66.7% hit rate). His consistency in the middle order provides Rockets with a reliable accumulator who can build innings or accelerate when needed.

Who will win Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rockets?

Trent Rockets are the prediction pick at 51% win probability, though this is a coin-flip contest with Manchester Super Giants at 42.5%. Rockets’ historical dominance in this fixture (5-1 record) combined with their consistent performances this season make them slight favourites. However, MSG’s home advantage and current form – sitting top of the table – means nothing is guaranteed. The Statz projections show Rockets maintain their 51% edge regardless of who bats first, suggesting their bowling attack is the key strength in this matchup.

Best Bets and Bet Builder Angles

Head to the Statz bet builder for real-time odds and hit rates on this fixture:

Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rockets prediction FAQ

Q: Who will win Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rockets?

A: Trent Rockets are the prediction pick at 51% win probability, though Manchester Super Giants sit at 42.5%. This is a coin-flip contest between two evenly matched sides. Rockets’ 5-1 head-to-head record gives them the edge, but MSG’s home advantage and top-of-table position make them genuine contenders.

Q: What is the projected match total?

A: The Statz projections suggest a match total of around 270-271 runs. First-innings totals are projected at 139-141 runs, indicating a balanced pitch where neither batting nor bowling dominance is expected. Both teams are rated as evenly matched.

Q: Who is favourite to win the toss?

A: The toss is not a decisive factor in this fixture. Statz projections show Rockets maintain their 51% win probability regardless of whether MSG or Rockets bat first, suggesting the toss call is less important than the quality of execution on the day.

Q: Is Trent Rockets a good bet at the odds?

A: Rockets are slight favourites at 51% win probability. Their historical dominance in this fixture (5-1 record) and consistent season form support the pick, though the odds reflect the tight nature of the contest. Nothing is guaranteed in a coin-flip match, so assess the indicative odds carefully before backing.