Manchester City vs Juventus: Club World Cup Group G Final Game
26th June 2025
Group G of the FIFA Club World Cup 2025 wraps up on Thursday at 8pm BST, with Manchester City and
Juventus both already qualified for the knockout rounds. But the battle for top spot in Group G remains
very much alive. Juventus holds a slim advantage, meaning a draw would be enough for the Serie A side to finish first and avoid a potential Last 16 showdown with Real Madrid.
With group supremacy on the line, expect strong line-ups from both teams despite a short turnaround and hot conditions in the USA. This heavyweight clash not only decides the group winner but also offers a crucial glimpse into both clubs’ Club World Cup title credentials. Statz model predicts both teams to score and slightly favours Man City to take the game with markets backing the Citizens to the tune of 8/11 favourites. However, Juventus’ 2-0 win over City in last season’s UEFA Champions League remains fresh in the memory, underlining the Italian club’s ability to trouble the reigning Club World Cup champions.
Free-scoring Juve or the Usual Suspect
Both sides have racked up goals in their opening games, capitalising on weaker opposition to build
momentum heading into this Group G decider. Juventus’s Kenan Yildiz leads the Club World Cup 2025
Golden Boot race with three goals, but it’s Erling Haaland who dominates the scoring projections once
again. The Manchester City striker is expected to find the net, with projected goal involvement more than
double that of second and third highest Phil Foden and Juve’s Randal Kolo Muani. The outsiders may offer better value in this clash, with tournament top scorer Kenan Yildiz and Randal Kolo Muani priced at
21/10 for a shot on target double (Bet365). If Juventus are to keep building momentum in the final third,
this duo will be key—Yildiz and Muani have led the team in shots on target across their last 10 matches,
making this double a tempting angle.
City Machine Still Humming
Pep Guardiola has rotated well during this tournament along with some experimentation with the new
faces. Pep roulette can’t be ruled out for this group decider but we can expect Man City to dominate the
ball as they do, and as they did in that two-nil defeat in the last meeting. On that night Manuel Locatelli
made six tackles and projects for the most in this game with over two expected. To relieve the city
pressure Francisco Conceição will be tasked with winning fouls and could go above his 1.37 projection
with City’s tactical fouling tendency and having averaged two over the last ten games. New City signing
Alt Nouri committed two fouls on his debut, which could mean we see the two tussle down the Juve right.
Best Player Angles
The odds favour action on the Juve side, while lineups could dictate some value on the Man City side if
there is rotation. Locatelli tackles, Conceição fouls drawn, and in form Yildiz shot on target looks the best
combination going.
