Man City vs Liverpool FA Cup Quarter Final Predictions – 5 April 2026

1st April 2026

Man City vs Liverpool FA Cup quarter final preview - stats via Statz

The standout game of the FA Cup quarter-finals. Man City host Liverpool at the Etihad on Saturday lunchtime – 12:45 kick-off – and neither side can afford to treat this as a distraction. A Wembley semi-final is at stake.

Form

City are 2nd in the Premier League with form D D W W W – three wins on the spin heading into this one. The Statz H2H page shows City averaging 14.3 shots per game this season with 5.1 on target – a side that creates consistently even when not at their best. Goals against average sits at just 0.9 per game.

Liverpool are 5th with form L D L W W – two wins to steady the ship after a poor run, but the underlying numbers tell a mixed story. 15.7 shots per game is actually higher than City’s average, and 4.5 SOT per game shows they remain a threat going forward. The issue is at the other end – 1.4 goals conceded per game is noticeably higher than City’s defensive record.

Key Stats

Both Teams to Score has landed in 50% of both sides’ last 10 games. Over 2.5 goals sits at 60% for both teams. These numbers point to a tight, competitive fixture – exactly what you’d expect from two sides of this quality. City’s clean sheet rate of 40% in their last 10 is notable given the opposition they’ve been facing.

City’s xG data from recent games reflects genuine dominance in possession – 63% average this season, 560 passes per game. Liverpool are capable of matching that intensity when they’re on it, but the 1-3 loss to West Ham in recent form shows vulnerability on the road that could matter here.

Betting Angle

Man City at home in a cup tie they’ll take seriously. BTTS looks the safest play at what will be short odds – both sides have the attacking quality to score, and neither is watertight defensively in this fixture type. Over 2.5 goals at 60% historical hit rate for both sides is worth consideration.

For bet builder angles, check the Statz Bet Builder Tool for SOT data on both squads ahead of Saturday. City’s players consistently feature in the FA Cup projections on shots volume.

Verdict

City’s home form and defensive record give them the edge, but Liverpool are dangerous enough to make this uncomfortable. Expect goals. Man City to Win or BTTS.