Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Riders – IPL 2026 | Statz

25th April 2026

Lucknow Super Giants face Kolkata Knight Riders at Bharat Ratna Shri Atal Bihari Vajpayee Ekana Cricket Stadium, Lucknow on April 26 (19:30 IST / 15:00 BST). This is the bottom-of-the-table clash in IPL 2026. Two sides in desperate need of points. Win or your season is effectively over.

Standings and Context

LSG are 9th with 2 wins and 5 losses from 7 games – 4 points. KKR are 10th with 1 win, 5 losses, and 1 no result – 3 points. With 7 games remaining, losing here would make a top-four finish extraordinarily difficult for either side. The playoff picture at the top is already starting to take shape – Mumbai (11pts), Punjab and RCB (10pts each), Sunrisers (8pts). LSG and KKR need to win and win consistently from here.

The H2H since 2022 massively favours LSG – 5 wins to KKR’s 2 from 7 meetings. LSG’s last 5 versus KKR: W, W, L, L, W. Home advantage and historical dominance both point toward LSG, but KKR are desperate and dangerous enough to flip the script.

Venue – Ekana Stadium, Lucknow

Twenty-four T20 matches at Ekana since April 2023 tell a clear story. Average first innings: 174.9. Pace takes 72% of wickets here at 9.4 economy. Even spin costs 9.07. Seam-friendly conditions suit KKR’s attack on paper, but LSG know this ground intimately. Openers dominate – the powerplay sets the match up here. Weather: clear skies, no rain concerns.

Statz Projections

With LSG batting first (Scenario A), Statz projects LSG to post 180.3 – above the venue average of 174.9. Win probability: KKR 51.3%, LSG 46.7%. Match total projection: 349.6. P10: 304, P90: 393.

If KKR bat first (Scenario B), LSG’s win probability improves to 52.4% with KKR at 45.6%. The model slightly prefers the chasing side in either scenario – consistent with Ekana’s tendency to favour second-innings sides. Both scenarios are close. The toss result will matter.

Key Players to Watch

Mitchell Marsh leads LSG’s run charts with 210 runs from 7 innings this season. Last three: 40, 40, 55 – the very definition of consistent. He’s the anchor LSG build their innings around and Statz projects him as their top Dream11 pick for a reason.

Aiden Markram adds 162 runs with solid returns. Rishabh Pant brings match-winning potential with 147 runs from 7 innings. Prince Yadav leads their bowling with 13 wickets from 7 innings – the standout bowler for LSG this season.

For KKR, Cameron Green is the name to watch – 162 runs with a recent 79 (last 3: 0, 79, 27). Explosive, powerful, and capable of winning a match on his own. Angkrish Raghuvanshi tops KKR’s run charts with 200 from 7 innings. Ajinkya Rahane brings experience and 152 runs as their captain.

Sunil Narine is always a threat – both with bat and ball. He provides KKR with a genuine match-winner at any point in the game. Kartik Tyagi leads their bowling with 8 wickets from 6 innings.

Predicted XIs

KKR (from last game): Ajinkya Rahane (c), Tim Seifert (wk), Cameron Green, Rovman Powell, Rinku Singh, Sunil Narine, Ramandeep Singh, Anukul Roy, Vaibhav Arora + 2 more. Check statz.ai for confirmed XI.

LSG XI: Mitchell Marsh, Aiden Markram, Rishabh Pant (wk), Ayush Badoni, Mukul D Choudhary + others. Check the fixture page for confirmed squad.

Dream11 Tips

Season Leaders

LSG Runs: Marsh 210 (7 inn), Markram 162 (7), Mukul D Choudhary 155 (7), Ayush Badoni 148 (7), Rishabh Pant 147 (7).

KKR Runs: Angkrish Raghuvanshi 200 (7 inn), Cameron Green 162 (7), Rahane 152 (7), Rinku Singh 132 (6), Rovman Powell 120 (4).

LSG Wickets: Prince Yadav 13 (7 inn), Mohammed Shami 7 (7), Avesh Khan 5 (5).

KKR Wickets: Kartik Tyagi 8 (6 inn).

Betting Angles

Both sides are priced equally at 1.909 (10/11) with bet365. Bet on LSG. Bet on KKR.

Equal pricing reflects genuine uncertainty in the market. Statz gives KKR a 51.3% edge if LSG bat first, but LSG recover to 52.4% if KKR bat first. LSG’s home advantage and dominant H2H record (5-2) deserve weight – the market may be undervaluing them slightly. Use the Statz Bet Builder for player props – Mitchell Marsh scoring 30+ and Prince Yadav taking a wicket are both strong angles given their current form.