Leicestershire vs Nottinghamshire Preview – T20 Blast 2026 | Statz

26th June 2026

An East Midlands derby in the T20 Blast 2026 as Leicestershire host Nottinghamshire at Grace Road on Saturday. Both sides are locked on 12 points from 6 matches – Leicestershire 11th (W3 L3) and Nottinghamshire 9th (W3 L3) – making this a pivotal clash for qualification hopes. First ball is at 7:00 PM IST (2:30 PM BST). Full match data and projections are available on the Statz fixture page.

The Venue

Grace Road has a substantial dataset with 30 T20s since May 2022. The average first-innings score is 168.8 with an average match total of 324.9. Teams batting first have won 43% of decided matches, suggesting a fairly even contest regardless of toss outcome. Pace bowlers have taken 60.7% of wickets at an economy of 9.07, while spin has been more miserly at 7.70. The most recent T20 here on 7 June 2026 saw Leicestershire defend 147/8 to beat Yorkshire by 12 runs. The highest total recorded is 230 and the pitch is tagged as balanced.

Form and Table

Leicestershire (11th – P6 W3 L3, 12 pts) are on a three-match winning streak. They beat Yorkshire (147/8 vs 135/10), Sussex (180/6 vs 179/10 chasing), and Lancashire (146/8 vs 145/9 defending) before that run began with losses to Derbyshire (145/10 vs 230/5) and Durham (148/8 vs 150/4). Three wins on the bounce gives them serious momentum heading into this local derby.

Nottinghamshire (9th – P6 W3 L3, 12 pts) are also riding a three-match winning streak. Wins over Derbyshire (183/6 vs 173/9), Warwickshire (143/7 vs 139/10), and Durham (157/4 vs 156/8) followed losses to Derbyshire (211/6 vs 234/4) and Lancashire (169/9 vs 208/4). Both teams enter this derby in identical form.

T20 Blast 2026 – Top 4

| Pos | Team | P | W | L | Pts |
|—–|——|—|—|—|—–|
| 1 | Northamptonshire | 6 | 6 | 0 | 24 |
| 2 | Glamorgan | 6 | 5 | 1 | 20 |
| 3 | Hampshire | 6 | 5 | 1 | 20 |
| 4 | Yorkshire | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16 |

Both teams have 8 group-stage matches remaining.

Head-to-Head

These sides have met 8 times since 2022 (Statz data), with Nottinghamshire leading 4-3 (plus 1 no result). The last meeting on 6 July 2025 at Trent Bridge was a thriller – Nottinghamshire chased Leicestershire’s 188/2 to win by 1 wicket with just 1 ball remaining (189/9). At Grace Road specifically, it is split – Nottinghamshire have won 2 and lost 2 from 4 visits.

Statz Projections

The Statz projections suggest a closely contested match with a slight edge to the team bowling first. If Leicestershire bat first, Nottinghamshire are marginal favourites at 51.1% to 46.9%, with a projected first-innings total of 179.1 and match total of 344.4. If Nottinghamshire bat first, Leicestershire become favourites at 54.6% to 43.4%, with a projected first innings of 176.3 and match total of 341. The projected first-innings totals comfortably exceed the venue average of 168.8. P10/P90 range for the first innings is 144-208 and for the match total 282-393.

Competition Season Leaders

Orange Cap – Top 5 Run Scorers

| Rank | Player | Team | Runs | Inn |
|——|——–|——|——|—–|
| 1 | Beau Webster | Gloucestershire | 288 | 6 |
| 2 | George Munsey | Nottinghamshire | 251 | 6 |
| 3 | Jonny Bairstow | Yorkshire | 250 | 6 |
| 4 | Chris Lynn | Northamptonshire | 245 | 6 |
| 5 | Martin Andersson | Derbyshire | 237 | 6 |

Purple Cap – Top 5 Wicket Takers

| Rank | Player | Team | Wkts | Inn |
|——|——–|——|——|—–|
| 1 | Duan Jansen | Glamorgan | 16 | 6 |
| 2 | James Sales | Northamptonshire | 16 | 6 |
| 3 | Adam Finch | Worcestershire | 12 | 6 |
| 4 | Scott Currie | Hampshire | 12 | 6 |
| 5 | Mohammad Ali | Nottinghamshire | 12 | 6 |

Leicestershire Season Leaders: Nick Kelly leads the runs with 193 at an average of 32.17 (HS 61). Liam Trevaskis tops the wickets with 8 at 1.33 per match.

Nottinghamshire Season Leaders: George Munsey has 251 runs at 41.83 (HS 88) – 2nd in the competition overall. Mohammad Ali leads the bowling with 12 wickets at 2.0 per match – joint 3rd in the Purple Cap standings.

Predicted XIs

Based on the most recent match on 7 June 2026. Leicestershire’s XI is from their game against Yorkshire; Nottinghamshire’s is from their game against Derbyshire. Always check the Statz fixture page for toss and confirmed lineup changes.

Leicestershire: Rishi Patel, Rehan Ahmed, Nick Kelly, Jonathan Tattersall, Ashton Turner, Ben Cox (wk), Ben Green (c), Liam Trevaskis, Alex Green, Ian Holland, Josh Davey

Nottinghamshire: Joe Clarke (c), George Munsey, Jack Haynes, Freddie McCann, Tom Moores (wk), George Linde, Benny Howell, Liam Patterson-White, Olly Stone, Mohammad Ali, Dillon Pennington

Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain

Captain: Mohammad Ali – Projected 85.8 Dream11 points. The Nottinghamshire seamer has 12 wickets at a 100% hit rate for 1+ wickets this season and sits joint 3rd in the Purple Cap race.

Vice Captain: Ben Green – Projected 82.2 Dream11 points. The Leicestershire captain brings batting and bowling contributions with 8 wickets this season alongside useful runs.

Other strong picks: Ian Holland (75.0 pts), Rehan Ahmed (73.5 pts), Josh Davey (73.3 pts)

Key Players

Mohammad Ali (Nottinghamshire) – Joint 3rd in the Purple Cap with 12 wickets in 6 innings. His 100% hit rate for 1+ wickets and 66.7% for 2+ wickets makes him the most consistent threat with the ball in this match. He has taken multiple wickets in 4 of his last 5 outings.

George Munsey (Nottinghamshire) – The competition’s 2nd-highest run scorer with 251 at 41.83 and a highest score of 88. Munsey has an 83.3% hit rate for 20+ runs this season, making him almost certain to contribute. His explosive opening batting sets the tone for Nottinghamshire’s innings.

Nick Kelly (Leicestershire) – Leicestershire’s leading run scorer with 193 at 32.17 (HS 61). Kelly has an outstanding 83.3% hit rate for 20+ runs this season, matching Munsey’s consistency. He is the anchor Leicestershire build their innings around.

Ian Holland (Leicestershire) – The all-rounder has 7 wickets with a remarkable 100% hit rate for 1+ wickets and 75% for 2+ wickets this season. His dual capability with bat and ball makes him a key player in any conditions.

Conditions

Partly cloudy at 24 degrees with light winds of 6.8 km/h and no rain expected – good batting conditions throughout.

Verdict and Betting Angles

Two evenly matched sides on identical records and identical form streaks. The projections marginally favour the team bowling first in both scenarios, which aligns with the venue data showing 43% bat-first win rate. Nottinghamshire have the edge in the head-to-head (4-3) and possess the stronger individual match-winners in Munsey and Mohammad Ali.

Pick: Nottinghamshire to win. Munsey’s explosive batting and Mohammad Ali’s wicket-taking consistency give them the edge. Their 3-match winning streak includes quality performances chasing, which suits Grace Road’s profile.

Odds are not yet available on bet365 for this fixture – check back closer to match day.

Bet Builder Angles:
– Mohammad Ali 1+ wickets – 100% season hit rate, 12 wickets in 6 innings
– George Munsey 20+ runs – 83.3% season hit rate at the competition’s 2nd-highest scorer
– Nick Kelly 20+ runs – 83.3% season hit rate with 193 runs at 32.17
– Ian Holland 1+ wickets – 100% season hit rate with 7 wickets in 4 matches

Build your own selections on the Statz Bet Builder.