Introducing Projected League Position by Statz.ai
29th July 2025
Statz.ai has launched a powerful new feature: 25/26 Projected League Tables, an insightful tool that forecasts where every club is likely to finish at the end of the upcoming campaign. Whether you’re a fan, analyst, journalist, or fantasy football enthusiast, this page provides a clear, data-driven outlook on how the season may unfold.
The projections are powered by a robust statistical model that incorporates historical performance, transfer activity, wage data, and bet365 market odds to deliver realistic and probability-based league forecasts.
How the Model Works
Our projections are built on a multi-layered statistical approach that simulates each team’s season 10,000 times. Here’s a breakdown of the core components:
- Base Model (Poisson Regression):
Uses historical attacking and defensive strengths from the 2024/25 season to simulate match outcomes, estimating expected goals for and against in each fixture. - Adjustments (Market & Squad Intelligence):
Enhances the base model by factoring in:
- Wage bill data to reflect squad investment
- Transfer activity to capture changes in team strength
- Betting odds to integrate real-time market sentiment
- Wage bill data to reflect squad investment
- Shock Factor (Performance Variance):
Introduces a correction based on how each team performed last season compared to their expected points total, accounting for consistent over- or under-performance trends. - Simulation Engine:
The full season is simulated 10,000 times to produce probability-based league tables, offering projected positions, points, and likelihoods for title wins, playoff spots, and relegation.
These layers combine to create accurate, adaptable, and data-driven forecasts for every team and league we cover.
Leagues Covered
The projection model currently supports eight major European leagues:
- Premier League (England)
- EFL Championship (England)
- League One (England)
- League Two (England)
- La Liga (Spain)
- Bundesliga (Germany)
- Serie A (Italy)
- Ligue 1 (France)
This extensive coverage means that fans of both elite clubs and lower-division teams can explore predictive insights tailored to their competition.
Why It’s Useful
Insightful Forecasts Backed by Data
No more relying solely on pundit opinions or gut feeling, Statz.ai‘s model is grounded in predictive metrics and performance data, making the projections more objective and robust.
Confidence in Uncertainty
By displaying a range of outcomes (not just one predicted position), it acknowledges football’s unpredictability while still offering a reliable, statistically-informed estimate of each team’s chances.
Ideal for Journalists & Analysts
Writers and content creators can use the data to shape pre-season previews, track surprise packages, and add analytical weight to match commentary.
Valuable for Fantasy & Strategic Planning
Fantasy managers and bettors can use the projections to identify overperformers, understand expected team trajectories, and make smarter decisions week-to-week.
What You’ll See
Each league comes with an interactive table showing:
- Current standings and projected final position
- Likelihood of winning the title, finishing top 4, mid-table, or being relegated
- Dynamic updates throughout the season
It’s a concise, visual summary of thousands of simulated seasons, condensed into a single powerful table.
Final Thoughts
The League Position Projections tool represents a significant advancement for fans seeking more comprehensive insights beyond just results and form tables. By simulating entire league campaigns through performance-based modelling, Statz.ai helps users see the bigger picture before the first whistle blows.
Head over to the Projections page on Statz.ai to see how your team stacks up this season, backed by data, not just debate.