Lancashire vs Nottinghamshire Preview – T20 Blast 2026 | Statz
24th May 2026
Lancashire host Nottinghamshire on Sunday 25 May (19:30 IST / 15:00 BST) with both sides desperate to get their T20 Blast 2026 campaigns off the mark. Lancashire sit 18th in the standings after being bowled out for 154 by Surrey in their opener, while Notts are 14th having posted 167 against Yorkshire but still losing by 7 wickets. Early days, but neither can afford another slip.
Full fixture page: Lancashire vs Nottinghamshire on Statz
Form Guide
Lancashire – Last 5 T20s: L L W L W
| Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 22 May 2026 | vs Surrey (A) | LAN 154/10 (16.1) vs SUR 213/6 (20) – Lost |
| 13 Sep 2025 | vs Somerset (H) | LAN 159/10 (19.5) vs SOM 182/7 (20) – Lost |
| 06 Sep 2025 | vs Kent (H) | LAN 156/7 (18.3) vs KEN 153/10 (20) – Won |
| 18 Jul 2025 | vs Nottinghamshire (A) | LAN 126/10 (20) vs NOT 127/6 (15.2) – Lost |
| 17 Jul 2025 | vs Yorkshire (A) | LAN 174/10 (19.5) vs YOR 153/10 (19.1) – Won |
Nottinghamshire – Last 5 T20s: L W L W W
| Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 22 May 2026 | vs Yorkshire (H) | NOT 167/7 (20) vs YOR 169/3 (16.3) – Lost |
| 18 Jul 2025 | vs Lancashire (H) | NOT 127/6 (15.2) vs LAN 126/10 (20) – Won |
| 17 Jul 2025 | vs Worcestershire (A) | NOT 161/10 (18.2) vs WOR 206/7 (20) – Lost |
| 11 Jul 2025 | vs Durham (H) | NOT 159/3 (18.4) vs DUR 156/10 (20) – Won |
| 06 Jul 2025 | vs Leicestershire (H) | NOT 189/9 (19.5) vs LEI 188/2 (20) – Won |
Both teams have 0 points from 1 match. It is very early in the season with no meaningful table separation yet.
Head-to-Head
These two have met 8 times since 2022 (Statz data), and Lancashire lead 6-2. The last meeting was on 18 July 2025 at Trent Bridge where Nottinghamshire won by 4 wickets, chasing down Lancashire’s 126/10 with NOT 127/6 in 15.2 overs. Before that, Lancashire hammered Notts by 47 runs at Old Trafford, posting 216/3 and bowling them out for 169. Lancashire’s overall dominance in this fixture is clear – they have won 6 of 8 including some massive victories such as an 87-run win back in 2022.
Statz Projections
If Lancashire bat first
- Lancashire win probability: 57.2% | Nottinghamshire: 40.8%
- Projected 1st innings: 167.7 (P10: 142 – P90: 193)
- Projected match total: 320.1 (P10: 275 – P90: 363)
If Nottinghamshire bat first
- Lancashire win probability: 56.6% | Nottinghamshire: 41.4%
- Projected 1st innings: 160.8 (P10: 128 – P90: 189)
- Projected match total: 313.4 (P10: 257 – P90: 362)
Lancashire are favoured regardless of the toss, sitting around 57% win probability either way. Projected match totals suggest a decent scoring game in the 310-320 range.
Competition Season Leaders
With just one match played each, the season stats are wafer-thin – but here is where things stand:
Lancashire top run-scorer: Paul Coughlin – 37 runs in 1 innings (avg 37.0)
Lancashire top wicket-takers: Chris Green (1 wkt), James Anderson (1 wkt), Paul Coughlin (1 wkt)
Nottinghamshire top run-scorers: Benny Howell – 30 runs (avg 30.0), Ben Duckett – 29 runs, George Munsey – 28 runs
Nottinghamshire top wicket-taker: Dillon Pennington – 2 wickets in 1 innings
Predicted XIs
Lancashire (based on last match vs Surrey, 22 May)
Keaton Jennings (C), Michael Jones, Matthew Hurst (WK), Ben McDermott, Chris Green, Paul Coughlin, Tom Hartley, Jack Blatherwick, Saqib Mahmood, James Anderson, Joseph Moores
Nottinghamshire (based on last match vs Yorkshire, 22 May)
Ben Duckett, Joe Clarke (C), George Munsey, Jack Haynes, Tom Moores (WK), Lyndon James, Benny Howell, Joe Pocklington, Olly Stone, Dillon Pennington, Mohammad Ali
Check the fixture page for toss and any late changes.
Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain
Top projected Dream11 scorers from players in the recent XI:
- James Anderson (LAN) – 82.9 pts – Projected 1.68 wickets, economy 8.0
- Chris Green (LAN) – 75.1 pts – Projected 13.3 runs + 0.92 wickets, economy 7.82
- Paul Coughlin (LAN) – 74.0 pts – Projected 16.1 runs + 0.91 wickets
- Jack Blatherwick (LAN) – 72.4 pts – Projected 11.8 runs + 0.95 wickets
- Benny Howell (NOT) – 71.2 pts – Projected 13.9 runs + 0.77 wickets
Captain pick: James Anderson – The 43-year-old leading the Dream11 projections tells you everything about his quality. Projected 1.68 wickets with the best economy among Lancashire’s bowlers. His experience in English conditions is unrivalled and he remains the most reliable wicket-taking option in this fixture.
Vice Captain pick: Chris Green – The all-rounder offers dual value with projected contributions in both batting (13.3 runs) and bowling (0.92 wickets at an economy of 7.82). That combination pushes his Dream11 ceiling higher than the pure batters.
Key Players to Watch
George Munsey (Nottinghamshire)
The Scotland international brings genuine power to the top of the order. Projected 32.1 runs at a strike rate of 137.5, Munsey scored 28 on opening day against Yorkshire and will be looking to build on that. When he gets going, he can take any attack apart in the powerplay.
James Anderson (Lancashire)
Still going strong at 43, Anderson is projected for 1.68 wickets with an economy of 8.0. He took 1 wicket against Surrey in the opener and his mastery of English conditions makes him a potent threat, particularly with the new ball. No one reads the seam position better.
Ben Duckett (Nottinghamshire)
England’s aggressive left-hander is projected 25.8 runs at a strike rate of 156.0. Duckett made 29 in the loss to Yorkshire and his fearless approach can set the tone early for Notts. When he fires, the required rate never becomes an issue.
Ben McDermott (Lancashire)
The Australian is projected 24.1 runs at a strike rate of 135.8. McDermott is a proven big-hitter in T20 cricket worldwide and gives Lancashire serious firepower through the middle overs. If the top order provides a platform, he can be destructive.
Conditions
Weather data is pending – check the fixture page closer to match day for updates.
Verdict and Betting Angles
Lancashire are favoured at 57.2% win probability according to Statz projections, and that is backed up by a dominant 6-2 head-to-head record. Despite both sides losing their openers, Lancashire’s projections edge this – they are expected to score more and take more wickets regardless of who bats first.
The odds have Nottinghamshire as slight favourites at 1.80 (Ladbrokes) which feels wrong given the data. Lancashire at 2.01 (Dafabet) or 2.00 (Ladbrokes) looks like the value side here.
Betting angles
- Lancashire to win at 2.01 (Dafabet) – Backed by 57.2% Statz projection and 6-2 H2H dominance. The odds imply only about 50% win probability, giving clear value against Statz’s numbers.
- George Munsey over 20.5 runs – Projected 32.1 runs, comfortably the top Notts batter projection. Scotland international with T20 power.
- James Anderson 1+ wickets – Projected 1.68 wickets. The most reliable bowler on either side by the numbers.
- Chris Green 1+ wickets – Projected 0.92 wickets. Adds all-rounder value with projected runs of 13.3 too.
Build your own selections using the Statz Bet Builder.
All projections and statistics sourced from Statz. Odds correct at time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.