Kent vs Hampshire Preview – T20 Blast 2026 | Statz

26th June 2026

Kent welcome Hampshire to the St Lawrence Ground in Canterbury in the T20 Blast 2026 on Saturday. Kent are 8th in the table with 12 points from six matches (W3 L3), while Hampshire sit 3rd on 20 points (W5 L1) and are in superb form with five consecutive wins. First ball is at 20:00 IST (15:30 BST). Full match details are on the Kent vs Hampshire page.

The Venue

The St Lawrence Ground has hosted 29 T20s since 2022. The average first innings score is 174.2, but the bat-first win rate is just 38% – chasing sides have a clear advantage here. Pace bowlers go at 9.06 per over, while spin is more economical at 7.98. The highest total at the ground is 228 and the lowest is 113. The pitch is tagged as balanced. In the most recent T20 here, Essex chased down 130 against Kent with nine wickets in hand on 29 May 2026.

Form and Table

Kent (8th – P6 W3 L3 – 12pts)

Last five results:

Hampshire (3rd – P6 W5 L1 – 20pts)

Last five results:

T20 Blast 2026 – Top 4

Pos Team P W L Pts
1 Northamptonshire 6 6 0 24
2 Gloucestershire 6 5 1 20
3 Hampshire 6 5 1 20
4 Yorkshire 6 4 2 16

Kent’s form is patchy – two wins and three losses from their last five, with a heavy home defeat to Essex a concern. Hampshire are flying with five straight wins and have the squad depth to maintain their push for a qualification spot. The gap between these two sides is significant right now.

Head-to-Head

4 meetings since 2022 (Statz data) – Kent 2 wins, Hampshire 2 wins. The series is level.

The last meeting was at this ground on 8 June 2025, where Kent chased down 178 with eight wickets in hand (181/2 vs 177/7). Kent have actually won both meetings at St Lawrence Ground – 180/4 vs 177/7 in June 2023 and 181/2 vs 177/7 in June 2025. Hampshire’s two wins came at The Rose Bowl.

Hampshire have played twice at St Lawrence Ground in the Statz era and lost both.

Statz Projections

In the batting-first scenario (Kent bat), Statz gives Hampshire a 56.8% win probability to Kent’s 41.2%. If Hampshire bat first, the picture flips – Kent are marginal favourites at 51.6% to Hampshire’s 46.4%. The toss could be decisive at a ground where chasing teams win 62% of the time.

The projected first innings total is 163.1 (Kent batting first) or 165.5 (Hampshire batting first) – both below the venue average of 174.2. The projected match total is around 316-318, also below the ground average of 329.8. The P10-P90 range for the match total spans 266 to 361. Full details on the Statz projections page.

Competition Season Leaders

Orange Cap – Top 5 Run Scorers

  1. Beau Webster (Warwickshire) – 288 runs (6 inn, 26 fours, 14 sixes)
  2. George Munsey (Nottinghamshire) – 251 runs (6 inn, 25 fours, 10 sixes)
  3. Jonny Bairstow (Yorkshire) – 250 runs (6 inn, 28 fours, 10 sixes)
  4. Chris Lynn (Northamptonshire) – 245 runs (6 inn, 26 fours, 14 sixes)
  5. Martin Andersson (Derbyshire) – 237 runs (6 inn, 24 fours, 9 sixes)

Purple Cap – Top 5 Wicket Takers

  1. Duan Jansen (Gloucestershire) – 16 wickets (6 inn)
  2. James Sales (Northamptonshire) – 16 wickets (6 inn)
  3. Adam Finch (Worcestershire) – 12 wickets (6 inn)
  4. Scott Currie (Hampshire) – 12 wickets (6 inn)
  5. Mohammad Ali (Nottinghamshire) – 12 wickets (6 inn)

Kent Season Leaders (6 matches)

Runs: Sam Billings 224 (avg 37.33, HS 84), Zak Crawley 141 (avg 23.50, HS 75), Harry Finch 105 (avg 35.00, HS 65).

Wickets: Matt Milnes 8 (avg 1.33, best 3), Jake Lintott 5 (avg 0.83, best 3).

Hampshire Season Leaders (6 matches)

Runs: Tristan Stubbs 166 (avg 33.20, HS 69), Hilton Cartwright 161 (avg 26.83, HS 46), Joe Weatherley 156 (avg 26.00, HS 47).

Wickets: Scott Currie 12 (avg 2.00, best 4), Chris Wood 10 (avg 1.67, best 3), Liam Dawson 7 (avg 1.17, best 3).

Predicted XIs

Kent (based on squad vs Essex, 9 June 2026):

Daniel Bell-Drummond, Harry Finch, Zak Crawley, Sam Billings (c/wk), Chris Benjamin, Jake Lintott, Grant Stewart, Matt Milnes, Keith Dudgeon, Frederick Klaassen, Joe Denly, Jaydn Denly

Hampshire (based on XI vs Surrey, 5 June 2026):

Ali Orr, Toby Albert (wk), Joe Weatherley, Jake Lehmann, Liam Dawson, Tristan Stubbs, Hilton Cartwright, James Fuller, Scott Currie, Manny Lumsden, Chris Wood (c)

Check the fixture page for any toss-related changes.

Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain

Based on projected Dream11 points for players in the most recent XIs:

Captain: Keith Dudgeon (KEN) – 89.0 projected points. The seam bowler has been a revelation – a 1+ wicket hit rate of 100% and 2+ wickets in 66.7% of his outings across three matches.

Vice Captain: Scott Currie (HAM) – 86.1 projected points. Hampshire’s leading wicket-taker with 12 scalps and a perfect 100% hit rate for 1+ wicket.

Also consider: Chris Wood (HAM) 84.0 pts, Liam Dawson (HAM) 79.9 pts, Matt Milnes (KEN) 76.6 pts.

Key Players

Scott Currie (Hampshire) – Joint-fourth in the Purple Cap standings with 12 wickets from six matches. Currie has taken a wicket in every single game this season (100% hit rate) and takes 2+ in 66.7% of outings. The spearhead of Hampshire’s bowling attack.

Tristan Stubbs (Hampshire) – The South African has been Hampshire’s most consistent bat with 166 runs at 33.20. His 20+ runs hit rate is an excellent 80% and his 30+ runs hit rate matches it at 80%. A genuine match-winner in the middle order.

Sam Billings (Kent) – Kent’s top run-scorer this season with 224 runs at 37.33 including a high score of 84. Billings has a 20+ runs hit rate of 66.7% and a 30+ hit rate of 50%. He needs to fire if Kent are to compete here.

Chris Wood (Hampshire) – The captain leads from the front with 10 wickets at a 1+ wicket hit rate of 83.3% and 2+ wickets in 66.7% of games. Left-arm pace at this ground could be a real asset.

Conditions

Fair skies in Canterbury with temperatures around 24 degrees, a light breeze (7.3 km/h) and no rain forecast. Perfect conditions for cricket.

Verdict and Betting Angles

Hampshire are the form team of the competition. Five wins from six matches, averaging 175.7 with the bat and backed by a bowling unit led by Scott Currie (12 wickets) and Chris Wood (10 wickets). Kent have the home advantage and a strong record against Hampshire at this ground – winning both previous encounters at St Lawrence Ground. But Kent’s recent form (two losses in their last three) and the gap in squad quality makes this hard to look past Hampshire.

Interestingly, the toss matters enormously at this ground – chasing sides win 62% of the time. If Hampshire win the toss and bowl, they will be strong favourites. Even if they bat first, the Statz model still gives Kent only a marginal 51.6% edge.

Prediction: Hampshire to win.

Bet Builder Angles (check the Statz Bet Builder for live odds):