Gloucs vs Northants Preview – T20 Blast 2026 | Statz
30th June 2026
The only unbeaten team in the 2026 T20 Blast heads to Bristol on Wednesday as Northamptonshire take on Gloucestershire at the County Ground. Northamptonshire sit top of the table with a perfect 7 from 7 (28 pts), while Gloucestershire are third with 5 wins from 7 (20 pts). First ball is at 23:30 IST (19:00 BST).
Full match data, projections and lineups on the Statz fixture page.
The Venue
County Ground, Bristol has hosted 29 T20s since 2018 (Statz data). The average first-innings score is 168.2 with a batting-first win rate of 45%. Pace dominates here – 70.7% of wickets fall to seamers at an economy of 8.44, while spinners go at 8.25. Statz tags this as a balanced pitch.
The most recent T20 here saw Gloucestershire edge Worcestershire by 3 runs (GLO 148/7 vs WOR 145/10) on 7 June 2026.
Form and Table
Gloucestershire – 3rd, P7 W5 L2 (20 pts)
Last 5 results:
- L vs Somerset (A) – GLO 176/7 vs SOM 194/7
- W vs Worcestershire (H) – GLO 148/7 vs WOR 145/10
- W vs Somerset (H) – GLO 138/3 vs SOM 137/8
- W vs Yorkshire (A) – GLO 217/6 vs YOR 161/10
- L vs Northamptonshire (A) – GLO 164/9 vs NOR 166/3
Three wins on the bounce before a defeat at Taunton last time out. Gloucestershire have been strong at home this season but their loss to Northamptonshire in the reverse fixture is a concern heading into this one.
Northamptonshire – 1st, P7 W7 L0 (28 pts)
Last 5 results:
- W vs Essex (H) – NOR 238/6 vs ESS 108/10
- W vs Worcestershire (H) – NOR 162/4 vs WOR 154/5
- W vs Durham (A) – NOR 145/9 vs DUR 138/8
- W vs Warwickshire (A) – NOR 209/4 vs WAR 208/7
- W vs Gloucestershire (H) – NOR 166/3 vs GLO 164/9
Flawless. Seven from seven including a 130-run demolition of Essex last time out where they posted 238/6. Northamptonshire win ugly and they win big – that 1-run squeeze against Warwickshire shows they can grind results too.
T20 Blast 2026 – Top 4
| Pos | Team | P | W | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northamptonshire | 7 | 7 | 0 | 28 |
| 2 | Hampshire | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24 |
| 3 | Gloucestershire | 7 | 5 | 2 | 20 |
| 4 | Lancashire | 8 | 5 | 3 | 20 |
Both sides have 7 matches remaining including this fixture.
Head-to-Head
1 meeting since 2026 (Statz data). Northamptonshire lead 1-0. The only encounter came at Northampton on 29 May where NOR chased down GLO’s 164/9 with 7 wickets in hand and 22 balls to spare. Chris Lynn (69) and Nathan McSweeney (53) led the charge. Northamptonshire have no previous record at County Ground, Bristol in the Statz database.
Statz Projections
If Gloucestershire bat first, Statz gives them a 39.3% win probability against NOR’s 58.7%. The projected first-innings total is 155.3 with a match total of 300.5. The P10-P90 range for the first innings sits at 125-183.
If Northamptonshire bat first, the gap narrows – GLO 45.9%, NOR 52.1%. Projected first innings: 158.1, match total: 303.2 (P10-P90: 132-184).
Both projected match totals of 300-303 sit below the venue average of 320.8, suggesting the Statz model expects the bowling strength of both sides to keep scores in check.
Full projections on the Statz projections page.
Competition Season Leaders
Orange Cap – Top Run Scorers
- George Munsey (Lancashire) – 408 runs in 8 innings
- Beau Webster (Warwickshire) – 367 runs in 7 innings
- James Rew (Somerset) – 342 runs in 6 innings
- Sam Billings (Kent) – 338 runs in 8 innings
- Chris Lynn (Northamptonshire) – 320 runs in 7 innings
Purple Cap – Top Wicket Takers
- James Sales (Northamptonshire) – 17 wickets in 7 innings
- Mohammad Ali (Lancashire) – 17 wickets in 8 innings
- Duan Jansen (Gloucestershire) – 16 wickets in 6 innings
- Hasan Ali (Yorkshire) – 15 wickets in 7 innings
- Chris Wood (Hampshire) – 15 wickets in 8 innings
Gloucestershire Season Leaders
Runs: D’Arcy Short – 235 runs, avg 33.57, HS 82 | Ben Charlesworth – 150 runs, avg 25.00, HS 49 | Miles Hammond – 147 runs, avg 21.00, HS 56
Wickets: Duan Jansen – 16 wkts, best 4 | Marchant de Lange – 10 wkts, best 2
Northamptonshire Season Leaders
Runs: Chris Lynn – 320 runs, avg 45.71, HS 115 | David Willey – 236 runs, avg 33.71, HS 65 | Justin Broad – 177 runs, avg 25.29, HS 38
Wickets: James Sales – 17 wkts, best 5 | Calvin Harrison – 12 wkts, best 5 | Ben Sanderson – 9 wkts, best 2
Predicted XIs
Gloucestershire (based on XI vs Somerset, 26 Jun 2026)
- Miles Hammond
- D’Arcy Short
- Joe Phillips
- Liam Scott
- Jack Taylor (c)
- Kamran Dhariwal
- James Bracey (wk)
- Graeme van Buuren
- Marchant de Lange
- Will Williams
- Daaryoush Ahmed
Northamptonshire (based on XI vs Essex, 26 Jun 2026)
- Chris Lynn
- Ricardo Vasconcelos
- Nathan McSweeney
- Lewis McManus (wk)
- Justin Broad
- James Sales
- Saif Zaib
- Calvin Harrison
- Ben Sanderson
- George Scrimshaw
- David Willey (c)
Check the Statz fixture page for any changes after the toss.
Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain
Captain: David Willey – 91.0 projected Dream11 points. The NOR skipper combines projected runs of 18.5 with 0.92 wickets and 0.72 catches per match. His all-round output makes him the clear captain pick.
Vice Captain: Ben Sanderson – 87.7 projected Dream11 points. The experienced seamer is projected for 1.65 wickets at an economy of 7.64 – comfortably the best economy among the frontline quicks.
Also consider: D’Arcy Short (82.5 pts), George Scrimshaw (82.3 pts), Marchant de Lange (80.8 pts).
Key Players
Chris Lynn (Northamptonshire)
The big-hitting Australian has 320 runs at 45.71 this season with a highest of 115 – fifth in the overall Orange Cap standings. Lynn’s 20+ runs hit rate sits at 80% in his last 5 innings and his 30+ rate is also 80% over the same span. He battered Gloucestershire for 69 off 34 balls in the reverse fixture. The man for the big occasion.
David Willey (Northamptonshire)
The NOR captain is delivering with both bat and ball. 236 runs at 33.71 this season with last-3 scores of 26, 47 and 65 – a clear upward trend. His 20+ runs hit rate is 80% in the last 5, and he takes 1+ wickets at a 71.4% season rate. The complete all-round package in this Northamptonshire side.
D’Arcy Short (Gloucestershire)
Gloucestershire’s leading run scorer with 235 at 33.57 and a highest of 82. Short’s 20+ runs L5 hit rate is 80%, and his last 3 scores read 63, 0, 59 – two big contributions from three. He also chips in with the ball (7 wickets this season), making him Gloucestershire’s most important player.
James Sales (Northamptonshire)
Joint-leading wicket taker in the entire T20 Blast with 17 in 7 innings, including a best of 5. Sales has taken 1+ wickets in every single match this season – a perfect 100% hit rate. His 2+ wickets rate is 71.4%. Relentless with the ball and a huge factor in Northamptonshire’s perfect record.
Conditions
Clear skies in Bristol with 18 degrees at the start, 6% cloud cover and no rain expected. A full match is guaranteed.
Verdict and Betting Angles
Northamptonshire’s perfect record speaks for itself. Seven wins from seven, the competition’s joint-leading wicket taker in James Sales, and Chris Lynn sitting fifth in the Orange Cap – this side is firing on all cylinders. Gloucestershire have been solid at home but lost their last outing and were well beaten in the reverse fixture. The Statz model gives Northamptonshire a 52-59% win probability depending on the toss scenario, and the market has them at 8/13 with bet365.
Pick: Northamptonshire to win at 8/13 with bet365.
Bet Builder Angles (build yours on the Statz bet builder):
- Chris Lynn 20+ runs – 80% L5 hit rate, 57.1% season rate
- David Willey 20+ runs – 80% L5 hit rate, 71.4% season rate
- James Sales 1+ wicket – 100% season hit rate across all 7 matches
- Marchant de Lange 1+ wicket – 85.7% season hit rate, 80% L5 rate