Glamorgan vs Warwickshire Preview – T20 Blast 2026 | Statz

2nd July 2026

Glamorgan host Warwickshire at Sophia Gardens on Friday in the T20 Blast 2026, with the hosts looking to maintain their push towards the knockout stages. First ball is at 23:00 IST (18:30 BST). Glamorgan sit 7th in the table on 16 points from seven matches, while Warwickshire are down in 13th on 12 points from eight. A win here would give the Welsh county a real boost – a defeat for the Bears could end their qualification hopes altogether.

For full projections, predicted XIs and live data, head to the Glamorgan vs Warwickshire fixture page on Statz.

The Venue

Sophia Gardens in Cardiff has produced competitive T20 cricket. Across the last 30 T20s at this ground (since June 2021), the average first innings total is 173 and the average match total is 326.9. Batting first wins exactly 50% of decided matches, so the toss is not a decisive factor here.

Pace bowlers take 68.7% of the wickets at an economy of 8.78, while spinners concede 8.07 per over and take 27% of wickets. The pitch is tagged as a balanced surface. The most recent match here saw Glamorgan chase down 154 against Middlesex with six wickets in hand on 26 June, while Somerset were beaten in the previous home fixture on 29 May.

Form and Table

Glamorgan are in good form with four wins from their last five completed matches:

Warwickshire have won three of their last five, including two dominant victories in their most recent outings:

Table snapshot (top 4 and relevant positions):

Pos Team P W L Pts
1 Northamptonshire 8 8 0 32
2 Hampshire 8 6 2 24
3 Surrey 8 5 3 20
4 Gloucestershire 8 5 3 20
…
7 Glamorgan 7 4 3 16
…
13 Warwickshire 8 3 5 12

Glamorgan have seven games remaining and sit just four points off a qualification spot. Warwickshire have six matches left and need to win virtually all of them to have any chance of progressing.

Head-to-Head

There is no T20 head-to-head data between Glamorgan and Warwickshire in the Statz database, which suggests these two have not met in recent T20 Blast seasons. This will effectively be a fresh contest with no direct form to lean on between these sides.

Glamorgan’s record at Sophia Gardens across all T20 Blast fixtures (since 2021) reads P31, W13, L16. Warwickshire have no recorded T20 matches at this venue in the Statz data.

Statz Projections

The Statz projections give Glamorgan a slight edge if they bat first – 52.5% win probability to Warwickshire’s 45.5%. If Warwickshire bat first, it flips marginally to 49.4% for the visitors and 48.6% for Glamorgan.

Glamorgan bat first scenario:

Warwickshire bat first scenario:

Both projected first innings totals sit slightly below the Sophia Gardens ground average of 173, suggesting the model sees a moderately competitive match rather than a run-fest. The projected match totals of around 320 are also below the venue average of 326.9.

Competition Season Leaders

Orange Cap – Top 5 Run Scorers:

  1. Beau Webster (WAR) – 427 runs in 8 innings (41 fours, 19 sixes)
  2. George Munsey (NOT) – 408 runs in 8 innings (35 fours, 20 sixes)
  3. James Rew (SOM) – 342 runs in 6 innings (34 fours, 12 sixes)
  4. Sam Billings (KEN) – 338 runs in 8 innings (27 fours, 18 sixes)
  5. Chris Lynn (NOR) – 320 runs in 7 innings (37 fours, 17 sixes)

Purple Cap – Top 5 Wicket Takers:

  1. James Sales (NOR) – 18 wickets in 8 innings
  2. Mohammad Ali (NOT) – 17 wickets in 8 innings
  3. Reece Topley (SUR) – 16 wickets in 8 innings
  4. Duan Jansen (GLO) – 16 wickets in 6 innings
  5. Hasan Ali (YOR) – 15 wickets in 7 innings

Glamorgan season leaders: Kiran Carlson leads the runs with 221 at an average of 31.57 (HS 109), followed by Sean Dickson with 211 at 30.14 (HS 67). With the ball, Mason Crane and Nathan McAndrew share the lead with 9 wickets apiece (best figures of 4).

Warwickshire season leaders: Beau Webster dominates with 427 runs at 53.38 (HS 112). Robert Yates has 202 at 25.25 (HS 54) and Sam Hain has 166 at 27.67 (HS 68). Usman Tariq leads the bowling with 9 wickets (best 2), followed by Jordan Thompson with 8 (best 2).

Predicted XIs

Glamorgan (based on XI vs Middlesex, 26 Jun 2026):

  1. Will Smale
  2. Kiran Carlson (c)
  3. Asa Tribe
  4. Ben Kellaway
  5. Sean Dickson
  6. Chris Cooke (wk)
  7. Daniel Douthwaite
  8. James Neesham
  9. Timm van der Gugten
  10. Mason Crane
  11. Nathan McAndrew

Warwickshire (based on XI vs Sussex, 01 Jul 2026):

  1. Robert Yates
  2. Zen Malik
  3. Dan Mousley
  4. Sam Hain
  5. Beau Webster
  6. Ed Barnard (c)
  7. Kai Smith (wk)
  8. Jordan Thompson
  9. Chris Woakes
  10. Richard Gleeson
  11. Usman Tariq

Note: lineups may change after the toss. Check the fixture page for confirmed XIs.

Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain

Captain: Daniel Douthwaite – projected 97.3 Dream11 points. The Glamorgan all-rounder offers dual value with both bat and ball. He has taken 7 wickets this season with an 80% hit rate for 1+ wickets in his last five matches and a 60% rate for 2+ wickets.

Vice Captain: Jordan Thompson – projected 95.2 Dream11 points. Warwickshire’s all-rounder is a consistent contributor with 8 wickets and useful lower-order runs. He has an 80% hit rate for 1+ wickets in his last five outings.

Other top picks:

Key Players

Beau Webster (WAR) – The tournament’s leading run scorer with 427 runs at 53.38 this season. Webster has been sensational, scoring 112, 79 and 60 in his last three innings. His 20+ runs hit rate over the last five matches is a perfect 100%, and he clears 30+ runs 80% of the time in that same span. The Australian all-rounder also chips in with the ball, taking a wicket in 80% of his last five games. He is the single biggest threat in this match.

Kiran Carlson (GLA) – Glamorgan’s captain and leading run scorer with 221 runs at 31.57, including a century (109). He has scored 20+ runs in 60% of his last five innings. Carlson is the anchor of this Glamorgan batting order and his form against Warwickshire’s varied attack will be crucial.

Nathan McAndrew (GLA) – The Australian quick has 9 wickets in just five innings and boasts an 80% hit rate for 1+ wickets over his last five matches and 60% for 2+ wickets. On a balanced Sophia Gardens pitch where pace takes 68.7% of the wickets, McAndrew looks well placed to have an impact.

Richard Gleeson (WAR) – Gleeson has been destructive since joining the Warwickshire attack, taking 7 wickets in just four innings with figures of 1, 2 and 4 in his last three. His 75% hit rate for 1+ wickets and 50% for 2+ wickets makes him a serious threat with the new ball and at the death.

Conditions

Clear skies are expected in Cardiff with a temperature of 20 degrees, light winds at 7.7 km/h and just 11% cloud cover. No rain is forecast. Perfect conditions for an uninterrupted T20.

Verdict and Betting Angles

Glamorgan get the nod here. They are in stronger form (4 wins from 5), they have home advantage at Sophia Gardens where they have won their last two matches comfortably, and the Statz model gives them a 52.5% win probability if they bat first. Warwickshire have the firepower through Webster but their bowling has leaked runs this season, conceding an average of just 163.8 but winning only 37.5% of their matches. Glamorgan are available at 1.76 on bet365, while Warwickshire are 1.96.

Bet builder angles (build your selections on the Statz bet builder):