Fluminense vs Al Hilal Betting Tips: Club World Cup 2025 Quarter Final Preview

4th July 2025

Fluminense vs Al Hilal Betting Tips

An unexpected FIFA Club World Cup quarter-final sees Brazil’s Fluminense take on Saudi Arabian giants Al Hilal at 8pm BST. Instead of a predicted clash between Inter Milan and Manchester City, it’s two sides who’ve impressed throughout the tournament battling for a place in the semi-finals, where either Palmeiras or Chelsea await. Fluminense’s veteran centre-back Thiago Silva has been a rock at the back, while Al Hilal’s Brazilian forward Marcos Leonardo has shone in Mitrović’s absence. According to Statz.ai, there’s little to separate the teams across most key metrics—shots on targets, corners, and shots – and the model predicts a 1-1 draw, suggesting another tight encounter on the cards. Read on for all of our Fluminense vs Al Hilal Betting Tips.

Free Flowing Al Hilal vs Wily Fluminense

Al Hilal arrive as the first Asian side to beat a European team at this tournament—and not just any team, but Manchester City. The hero of that game, Marcos Leonardo, found the net from two shots on target and has now recorded two shots on target in back-to-back games. While Statz.ai projects just one for him here, the absence of Aleksandar Mitrović and Salem Al-Dawsari could see the Brazilian forward take on a larger attacking role. At 1/1 (Bet365) for 2+ shot on target, Leonardo looks a tempting add to bet builders. Ruben Neves has landed a shot on target in 50% of his last ten games and is 7/4 (Bet365) to land one here.

Fluminense have conceded just two goals all tournament and, while they rode their luck at times in their Round of 16 win over Inter Milan, the result was no fluke. Veterans Germán Cano and Thiago Silva played key roles in that victory, while Jhon Arias continues to emerge as one of the standout players of the FIFA Club World Cup. The Colombian winger is a smart add to any bet builder alongside Marcos Leonardo for shots on target—Arias has averaged 0.9 over his last ten games and offers value again after landing two shots on target against Inter, with his set-piece threat an added bonus.

Potential Shots on Target Bet Builder (Bet 365)

Booking Watch
Dutch referee Danny Makkelie is in charge for this quarter-final clash, having already handed out four and five yellow cards in his two previous FIFA Club World Cup appearances. That includes an earlier Al Hilal match where both Kalidou Koulibaly and Renan Lodi were booked. Lodi again tops the booking projections for this one, and could be a strong candidate to land another yellow. On the Fluminense side, Bernal is the most likely to be cautioned according to projections, though odds are close to even money. Better value may lie with Nonato @11/4 (Bet365), who has committed the most fouls for the Brazilian side in the tournament and ranks just behind Bernal for yellow card probability.

Betting Tips and Key Angles

Projected Scoreline (Statz.ai): Fluminense 1-1 Al Hilal
Top Player Projections:

Final Word

Fluminense vs Al Hilal might not have the global headline value of Inter Milan or Man City, but for neutral fans and bettors, this should be a good contest. Shots on targets and cards may offer the best value from the bookies with tackles especially low in value.