Fiorentina vs Inter Predictions and Betting Tips – Sunday 22 March 2026

20th March 2026

A tricky one on the surface – Fiorentina at home to Inter in Serie A. Home advantage matters in Italy. The Statz data does not care.

Form Guide

Fiorentina come in at W W L D W – reasonable form, and they are playing at home. Inter are W W W L D in their last five – a strong run with just one defeat.

Statz Projections

This is one of those games where the data really makes you question the home price:

Inter are projected more than double Fiorentina’s expected goals – 2.04 vs 0.90. The shot volume is brutal: 14.47 vs 8.34. Away side, completely dominant in the model. Classic data-vs-home-advantage situation, and the data wins this argument convincingly.

Fiorentina’s home form might attract some punters. The projections say look elsewhere.

Betting Tips

The model is as clear as it gets for an away side. Inter’s expected output is massive – both in volume and quality of chances.

Tips:
– Inter to Win – numbers heavily favour the away side
– Inter Over 1.5 Goals – projected at 2.04, strong chance of at least 2
– Inter Asian Handicap -0.5 for better value

See the full Fiorentina vs Inter H2H and projections on Statz for the latest numbers.