Everton vs Newcastle: Statz Betting Tips

29th November 2025

Everton host Newcastle in Saturday’s early evening kick-off, looking to build on recent positive results. Newcastle, meanwhile, will aim to put their poor away form behind them after another disappointing result on the road. 

The hosts will be without Idrissa Gueye, who will miss the next three games following his altercation with teammate Michael Keane. Tim Iroegbunam is expected to step into midfield as a result. Newcastle may also remain without Kieran Trippier after he missed the midweek defeat to Marseille. 

Somewhat unsurprisingly, this fixture has been tight over recent meetings, with only one goal scored across the last two. Given Newcastle’s travel sickness and the fact they’re coming off a European match, it’s hard to look beyond the home side here.Read on for Statz betting angles and model projections.

Everton vs Newcastle: Statz Predictions

Statz is projecting a tight contest, with 1–1 the most likely result (11/2 Bet365), which is reflected in the pricing — the game is effectively a pick ’em for the bookies. Everton do shade things slightly in key metrics and still look more favourable on paper, given Newcastle’s poor away form, four defeats in a row. 

Everton double chance combined with under four total goals at 20/23 offers decent value with a bit of a safety net. Meanwhile, exploring player props could provide another route for getting involved in this tight encounter.

Everton vs Newcastle: Player Props

The player tackle markets look particularly appealing given the circumstances of this match. Newcastle’s Bruno Guimarães has been producing the goods in this area recently, and combining him at +2 tackles with Everton’s Ndiaye comes in at 4/5, with projections expecting it to hit. With the team news, Livramento and Iroegbunam could see a boost in their numbers, so combining all four players to record 2+ tackles rises to 11/4.

If attacking football is your focus, Jack Grealish tops the assists projections. He has historically enjoyed games against Newcastle, providing four assists — the most he has against any Premier League opponent in his career. Grealish is 7/2 here to get an assist.