Denmark vs Germany 2nd T20I Preview 2026 | Statz

17th June 2026

The second match of Thursday’s double-header sees Denmark and Germany meet again at Svanholm Park for the 3rd T20I of their bilateral series. First ball is at 7:00 PM IST (2:30 PM BST). Full match details on Statz.

Germany are ranked 35th in the ICC T20I rankings (rating 89) while Denmark remain unranked. With the morning match already in the books by the time this one starts, both sides will have fresh intel on conditions and form. Germany’s season numbers are imposing – 4 wins from 5 at an 80% clip, averaging 214 runs per innings. Denmark have won 1 of 3 this season (33.3%). Statz gives Germany a 53.7% win probability.

The Venue – Svanholm Park, Brondby

Same ground, same day, different context. Svanholm Park has hosted 3 T20I matches on Statz data with an average match total of 252 and average first innings of 157.3. Denmark have a 66.7% win rate here (2 wins from 3).

Seamers dominate the wicket column at 57.1% with an economy of 7.01, but spinners have been the more economical option at 5.71 – worth noting for the afternoon session when the pitch may offer more turn. Hamid Shah is the all-time leading run scorer at this venue with 156 runs. The last match here saw Denmark beat Finland by 55 runs posting 164/4.

Form and Table

Denmark – P3 W1 L2 this season. Last 5 results: W vs JEY (119/3 chasing 118), L vs JEY (144/7 losing to 148/7), L vs JEY (92 all out), W vs FIN (164/4 vs 109/8), W vs FIN (171/5 vs 33 all out). Inconsistent – capable of big scores at home but vulnerable when the pressure comes on.

Germany – P5 W4 L1 this season. Last 5 results: W vs AUT (216/5 vs 213/9), W vs AUT (170/6 vs 122/8), L vs AUT (211/9, chased down in 15.5 overs), W vs AUT (165/6 chasing 163/7), W vs AUT (308/1 vs 146 all out). That 308/1 tells you everything about the depth of this German batting lineup. They average 31.2 boundaries per match this season – 14.4 sixes and 16.8 fours.

Head-to-Head

No previous meetings between these sides on Statz data before this series. By the time this 3rd T20I starts, both teams will have played twice against each other (18 June + morning match on 19 June), but no historical head-to-head record exists. Germany have never played at Svanholm Park before this tour.

Statz Projections

Statz gives Germany a 53.7% win probability if they bat first, with Denmark at 44.3%. In the Denmark-bats-first scenario, it is closer at 52.9% vs 45.1%. View full projections on Statz.

If Denmark bat first, the projected first innings total is 152.1 (P10: 121, P90: 181) with a match total of 294.2 (P10: 241, P90: 341). If Germany bat first, expect a projected first innings of 155.8 (P10: 129, P90: 183) with a match total of 297.8 (P10: 251, P90: 342).

Both scenarios project match totals well above the 252 ground average, reflecting Germany’s explosive batting. Model confidence sits at 0.23 – limited data for these associate nations.

T20I Season Leaders

Orange Cap (Top Run Scorers – T20I 2026):

  1. Karanbir Singh (Austria) – 331 runs in 9 innings
  2. Shimron Hetmyer (West Indies) – 318 runs in 9 innings
  3. Musaddiq Ahmed (Germany) – 277 runs in 5 innings
  4. Suryakumar Yadav (India) – 242 runs in 5 innings
  5. Brandon King (West Indies) – 232 runs in 8 innings

Purple Cap (Top Wicket Takers – T20I 2026):

  1. Amjad Sher (Finland) – 16 wickets in 8 innings
  2. Shamar Joseph (West Indies) – 13 wickets in 6 innings
  3. Keshav Maharaj (South Africa) – 12 wickets in 8 innings
  4. Wanindu Hasaranga (Sri Lanka) – 12 wickets in 7 innings
  5. Hammadullah Shinwari (Finland) – 12 wickets in 7 innings

Denmark season leaders (3 matches): Hamid Shah leads the runs with 66 at 22.0 (HS: 44), with Shangeev Thanikaithasan close behind on 61 at 30.5 (HS: 55). Shakeel Zeb leads the wickets with 6 at 2.0 per match (best: 3), followed by Abdullah Mahmood with 5 (best: 3).

Germany season leaders (5 matches): Musaddiq Ahmed is 3rd on the global T20I run chart with 277 at 55.4 (HS: 122). Rohit Singh chips in with 195 at 65.0 (HS: 83). Ben Kohler-Cadmore has 162 at 40.5 including a stunning 133. Shahid Afridi leads the wickets with 11 at 2.2 per match (best: 4).

Predicted XIs

Denmark (based on XI vs Jersey, 02 May 2026): Hamid Shah, Jabran Khan (c), Lucky Malik, Musa Mahmood, Saud Munir, Sebastian Heath (wk), Shakeel Zeb, Shakerullah Safi, Shangeev Thanikaithasan, Surya Anand, Abdullah Mahmood.

Germany (based on XI vs Austria, 03 May 2026): Sachin Mandy Gangareddy (wk), Musaddiq Ahmed (c), Rohit Singh, Ben Kohler-Cadmore, Fayaz Khan Nasseri, Jeevan Bhatt, Hamid Wardak, Shahid Afridi, Ahmad Ullah, Adil Khan, Christopher Campbell.

Note: Both sides may rotate for the second match of the day. Check the Statz fixture page closer to the toss for confirmed lineups.

Dream11 Tips – Captain and Vice Captain

Captain: Abdullah Mahmood – Denmark’s bowling allrounder projects 11.3 runs and 2.23 wickets with an outstanding economy of 4.90. He has taken at least 1 wicket in 100% of T20I matches this season and scored 20+ runs in 66.7% of innings. The dual contribution gives him the highest projected fantasy value again.

Vice Captain: Musaddiq Ahmed – Germany’s skipper projects for 45.7 runs at a strike rate of 212.0 if Germany bat first. With 277 runs at 55.4 this season including a century, he has scored 20+ in 80% and 30+ in 80% of his innings. Capable of winning this on his own.

Also consider: Shahid Afridi (projected 15.7 runs + 1.67 wickets, 100% wicket hit rate), Jeevan Bhatt (projected 15.9 runs + 1.27 wickets, 100% wicket hit rate), Shakeel Zeb (projected 1.68 wickets, 66.7% 2+ wicket hit rate).

Key Players

Musaddiq Ahmed (Germany) – The best bat in this series by a distance. 277 runs at 55.4 with a strike rate that terrorises bowling attacks. Projected for 45.7 runs in the Germany-bats-first scenario. He hits 30+ in 80% of his innings – back him to deliver again.

Ben Kohler-Cadmore (Germany) – The left-hander has 162 runs at 40.5 this season including a magnificent 133. Projected for 40.8 runs at a blistering strike rate of 197.9 if Germany bat first. He scores 20+ in 50% of innings and is capable of taking any attack apart.

Shahid Afridi (Germany) – Germany’s allround weapon. 11 wickets in 5 matches with a 100% rate of taking at least 1 wicket per game and 40% for 2+ wickets. Also chips in with 20+ runs in 60% of matches. Projects for 15.7 runs and 1.67 wickets here – a bet builder favourite.

Shakeel Zeb (Denmark) – Denmark’s leading wicket-taker with 6 in 3 matches. He has taken 2+ wickets in 66.7% of his T20I matches this season, giving him genuine bet builder appeal. Projected for 1.68 wickets at an economy of 7.02. Denmark’s best chance of restricting Germany runs through him.

Conditions

Weather data not available for this fixture – check closer to match time. Being the afternoon match, the pitch at Svanholm Park may play slightly differently after a full morning session. The ground’s spin economy of 5.71 vs seam economy of 7.01 could become more relevant as the day wears on.

Verdict and Betting Angles

Germany should take this one too. The gap in quality is significant – averaging nearly 100 more runs per innings this season (214 vs 118.3). Even if Germany have wrapped up the series by this point, their batting lineup of Musaddiq Ahmed, Rohit Singh, and Ben Kohler-Cadmore is simply too strong. Statz projects a 53.7% win probability for Germany.

No live odds are available for this fixture on Statz at the time of writing.

Bet builder angles via Statz Bet Builder: