Arsenal v Tottenham: Predictions, Betting Tips and Statz Preview
21st November 2025
It’s a Super Sunday in North London as Arsenal and Tottenham add the latest chapter to their long and storied rivalry.
Can the Gunners continue their march towards the Premier League title, or will their noisy neighbours Spurs put a spanner in the works?
Find out at the Emirates Stadium on Sunday November 23 (16:30 GMT kick off).
Arsenal vs Spurs: Preview
Arsenal have won their last three competitive games against Spurs, including a 2-1 triumph at the Emirates back in January.
Tottenham’s last away win at the Gunners came in the Carabao Cup back in 2018, but their last Premier League victory at the Emirates came as long ago as 2010.
Can they end that hoodoo? Perhaps, with Arsenal shorn of the services of the injured Gabriel, Martin Odegaard, Gabriel Martinelli, Noni Madueke and possibly Riccardo Calafiori, who will face a late fitness test.
Mind you, Tottenham have no shortage of injury issues themselves, with James Maddison, Dejan Kulusevski and Dominic Solanke amongst those on the treatment table, while Lucas Bergvall and Mohammed Kudus face a race against time to be fit for Sunday.
Arsenal vs Tottenham: Statz Projections
The Statz Projections tool, which is powered by advanced data and machine learning, is predicting a comfortable win for Arsenal.
As you can see, we’re expecting the Gunners to dominate in those key metrics: shots, corners and, most importantly, goals.
Our projections suggest that Viktor Gyokeres and Bukayo Saka are likely to be the biggest thorns in the Spurs side, with that duo well supported by Ebe Eze and Leandro Trossard when it comes to shots at the Tottenham goal.
A fierce local derby wouldn’t be the same without tackles flying in, with our AI projections suggesting that Jurrien Timber, Destiny Udogie and the ever-willing Joao Palhinha are the most likely to get stuck in.
Arsenal v Tottenham Betting Tips & Predictions
At odds of around 1/2 to win the game, the bookmakers are in agreement with us that Arsenal are a strong favourite here.
But as you saw in our projections, we’re expecting the Gunners to have a 2.12-0.72 goal supremacy, which is plenty of scope to back Arsenal with a -1 handicap at 11/10 with bet365.
Our projections model for this game predicts an expected shot on target ratio of 1.53 for Victor Gyokeres, which suggests that the Swede will fire in at least one SOT.
He’s had at least one shot on target in four of his last five outings, so Gyokeres to record 1+ SOT on Sunday at odds of 8/11 seems more than fair.
· Arsenal -1 Handicap (11/10)
· Victor Gyokeres 1+ Shot on Target (8/11)
Readers may also find our Bet Builder tool useful, which allows you to plug various numbers into our model.
William Saliba averages 78.44 passes in his last five games, with Over 78.5 Passes – a line offered by bet365 for Sunday’s game – landing with an 80% hit rate.
A similar search of the Bet Builder tool identifies value in Joao Palhinha to commit 2+ fouls (60% hit rate in his last five games) and Ebe Eze 2+ shots (average of 2.68 last five, 60% hit rate).
· William Saliba – Over 78.5 Passes
· Joao Palhinha – 2+ Fouls Committed
· Ebe Eze – 2+ Shots
· Bet Builder Odds: 5/2