Hibernian vs Celtic Preview – Scottish Premiership Predictions and Bet Builder Tips
1st May 2026
Celtic are 3rd in the Scottish Premiership on 67 points. Hibernian are 5th on 51. On paper that gap tells you everything – Celtic have won seven of their last ten and are a well-oiled machine at this level. Hibernian sit in 5th place (W13 D12 L8, GD +14) and have had a reasonable but inconsistent season. Celtic head to Easter Road on Sunday morning as clear favourites and the Statz model reflects that – Celtic are projected at 1.74 goals to Hibs’ 1.29, and the away win probability is firmly above 50%.
Full H2H data and projections: Hibernian vs Celtic on Statz.
Lineups and Player News
Celtic’s top projected goalscorer for this fixture is Benjamin Nygren at 0.39 goals – the best of any player in this match. Martin Boyle leads Hibs’ attack at 0.35 goals projected. These are not enormous individual projections but the combined team totals back Celtic as the side most likely to win by a comfortable margin.
Defensively, Celtic’s fouls leader over the last ten is Liam Scales with 12 fouls (1.20 per game). For Hibs, their fouls leader has committed 13 in ten games (1.30 per game). Both sides have players who commit regularly, which makes the foul and card markets worth exploring in this fixture too.
Recent Form
Hibernian: WLWWDDDWLL – W4 D3 L3, 14 scored and 11 conceded. The three wins and three draws show they are capable of results at home but two losses in the last three is a concern. Not a side in brilliant form going into a difficult game.
Celtic: WWLDWWLWWW – W7 D1 L2, 19 scored and 13 conceded. Seven wins from ten is the form of a top-three side. They have the quality to see out games like this and their away form has been consistent throughout the season.
Statz Projections
The model projects Celtic at 1.74 goals and Hibernian at 1.29. Celtic’s stronger form, superior points total, and better goal difference all support the model’s view. Celtic (W21 D4 L8, GD +24) have significantly outperformed Hibs (W13 D12 L8, GD +14) across the full season.
The match is expected to be competitive – both sides project to score and Hibs will create chances at home – but Celtic’s quality across the pitch gives them the edge in most outcomes.
Betting Angles
- Celtic win: Away win probability is strong based on the model. Celtic are the better side by a significant margin and their form away from home has been consistent.
- BTTS: Both sides are projected to score (Celtic 1.74, Hibs 1.29) and Hibs at home will push forward. Hibs have scored in 13 of their 14 home league games this season.
- Benjamin Nygren to score: Top projected goalscorer at 0.39 – Celtic’s most likely goal source in this fixture. Watch him in the attacking areas.
- Celtic Over 1.5 goals: Their last ten away games average nearly two goals per game and they project 1.74 here. Against a Hibs side that has conceded 11 in their last ten, Celtic scoring twice is very plausible.
Bet Builder
Four legs from the Statz SGP data on bet365:
- Julian Araujo Shots 1+ – 1.53: 100% hit rate, 5 from 5. Celtic’s full-back who gets forward and has been testing keepers in every recent game.
- Elie Youan SOT 1+ – 1.73: 80% hit rate, 4 from 5. Hibs attacker who has been consistently getting shots on target – a useful leg to have from the home side.
- Benjamin Arthur Shots 1+ – 1.67: 80% hit rate, 4 from 5. Celtic defender who contributes from set pieces and has been getting shots in recent games.
- Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain SOT 1+ – 1.44: 60% hit rate, 3 from 5. Slightly lower hit rate but the odds reflect that. Celtic’s experienced midfielder who gets into shooting positions.
Combined at approximately 6.37 on bet365.
Summary
Celtic are the clear pick here. Better form, better squad, better numbers. Seven wins from ten away from home is elite form for a side sitting 3rd in the Scottish Premiership. BTTS is the smart market given both sides project to score and Hibs have been free-scoring at home all season. Julian Araujo’s 100% hit rate shots leg at 1.53 anchors the bet builder. Back Celtic and lean into the goals markets.