LA FC vs San Jose Earthquakes Predictions and Betting Tips – Sunday 20 April 2025
17th April 2026
LA FC welcome San Jose Earthquakes to BMO Stadium on Sunday in MLS action. This one is more balanced on paper than you might expect – San Jose have been in very decent form recently and will not be rolling over for anyone.
Head-to-head stats and match data at the LA FC vs San Jose Earthquakes H2H page on Statz.
Lineups and Player News
Lineups for this fixture are not yet confirmed. We will update with team news closer to kick-off – check the LA FC team profile on Statz and the San Jose Earthquakes team profile for the latest squad information as it drops.
Recent Form
LA FC come in with a decent but imperfect record – W W D W L across their last five. Four wins from five is solid, but that defeat is a reminder they are not untouchable at home. They have been strong in front of their own fans though, and BMO Stadium is a genuine fortress on a good day.
San Jose’s form is actually the more impressive of the two right now – W L W W W. Four wins from their last five, with only a single loss interrupting what has been a strong recent run. They will travel to LA with genuine belief that they can take something from this game.
Follow the full MLS standings and competition stats on Statz.
Statz Projections
LA FC are projected at 1.52 goals, 9.13 shots, 3.75 SOT, 3.02 corners, 6.54 fouls, 1.17 yellows and 6.75 tackles. San Jose come in at 0.98 goals, 6.80 shots, 2.76 SOT, 2.99 corners, 6.32 fouls, 1.19 yellows and 6.28 tackles.
Both sides are projected at relatively modest goal totals – LA FC at 1.52 and San Jose at 0.98 gives a combined 2.50 projected goals. That sits right on the fence for Over/Under 2.5. The shot numbers are also fairly contained, with both sides looking more compact than your typical high-octane fixture.
The foul and yellow projections are well-matched too – 6.54 vs 6.32 fouls, 1.17 vs 1.19 yellows. This looks like a competitive, physical game without going overboard in either direction.
See all MLS fixture projections on Statz for the full weekend picture.
Bet Builder
No qualifying Bet Builder data is available for this fixture. Head to the Statz Bet Builder tool as lineups are confirmed and data may become available closer to kick-off.
Betting Angles
The tightest projected margin of any of the weekend’s fixtures. LA FC’s home advantage and 1.52 goals projection makes them slight favourites, but San Jose’s recent four-win streak should give punters pause before blindly backing the home side.
Under 2.5 goals has to be on the radar given the combined projection of 2.50 – that is right on the number and the Statz model is not projecting an open, high-scoring affair. Both sides’ shot numbers are modest, and the defensive metrics suggest a tight, competitive game.
BTTS No could also be worth a look given San Jose’s goals projection of 0.98. That is below 1 expected goal, suggesting there is a reasonable chance they fail to score altogether. If you think LA FC see this out cleanly, BTTS No has some appeal.
Once lineups drop, check the Statz Bet Builder for any emerging player props – with attacking talent likely confirmed on both sides, shots and SOT markets could open up quickly.
Summary
This is a tricky one to call. LA FC are the home side with a slightly better goals projection, but San Jose’s form over the last five games is genuinely impressive. The Statz model points towards a tight, low-scoring game – and the under markets look more interesting than the goals one here.
Keep an eye on lineups when they drop, and revisit the H2H page on Statz for the latest data before kick-off on Sunday.