PSG vs Nantes Predictions and Betting Tips – 22 April 2026
22nd April 2026
PSG are cruising at the top of Ligue 1 and this midweek fixture against Nantes looks like a routine three points. PSG sit first on 63 points (W20 D3 L5, GD +37) and have won seven of their last ten, scoring 22 and conceding only ten. Nantes are 17th on 20 points – one win in their last ten, six goals scored and 12 conceded. Statz projects the H2H at PSG 2.59 – 0.63 Nantes. The numbers are not flattering for the visitors.
Lineups and Player News
Statz has full predicted lineups confirmed for both PSG and Nantes ahead of this Ligue 1 fixture. Both teams expected to field their standard XIs. Check the PSG vs Nantes H2H page for the latest.
Recent Form
PSG have been dominant at home this season, and their recent run confirms they are not letting up. W7 D0 L3 in their last ten with 22 goals scored. Ousmane Dembele tops their projected output at 0.83 goals for this game – a significant individual return that underlines how dangerous he is from wide.
Nantes have been dreadful. W1 D3 L6 in their last ten, just seven scored all competition. Mostafa Mohamed leads their projected output at 0.20 goals – the most any Nantes player can offer tonight. The gulf between the sides is stark.
Player Stats to Watch
Johann Lepenant leads Nantes for fouls with 14 on the season (1.40/game) and has shots 1+ in all five of his last games (1.2 avg). At 2.17 on Stake, that is the highest-odds leg in the SGP and carries genuine value. Mostafa Mohamed has shots on target 1+ in four of five recent games (0.8 avg) – consistently involved even in a struggling side.
For PSG, Fabian Ruiz has shots on target 1+ in four of his last five (1.0 avg). Dehmaine Tabibou of Nantes rounds out the SGP with a strong shots 1+ record – 2.0 avg and hits in four of his last five appearances.
Betting Angles
Referee Clement Turpin averages 3.31 yellows and 22.38 fouls per game – below average on both. In a game where PSG are expected to dominate, the better bet builder angles sit in player involvement stats rather than cards. The Statz bet builder tool highlights these four legs:
- Johann Lepenant – Shots 1+ | 100% hit rate (1.2 avg shots) | Last 5: W/W/W/W/W | 2.17 (Stake)
- Fabian Ruiz – Shots on Target 1+ | 80% hit rate (1.0 avg SOT) | Last 5: W/W/W/L/W | 2.25 (Stake)
- Mostafa Mohamed – Shots on Target 1+ | 80% hit rate (0.8 avg SOT) | Last 5: W/W/W/L/W | 1.80 (bet365)
- Dehmaine Tabibou – Shots 1+ | 80% hit rate (2.0 avg shots) | Last 5: W/W/W/W/L | 1.63 (Stake)
Combined odds: ~11.50
Summary
PSG should win this comfortably. The interesting angle here is the SGP at a juicy ~11.50 – the highest combined return on tonight’s slate. The odds are inflated by Lepenant at 2.17 and Ruiz at 2.25. Three of the four legs carry 80% hit rates; Lepenant is 100% across his last five. Small stakes, big potential return. See the full data breakdown on the PSG vs Nantes H2H page and build your selection on the Statz bet builder.