Valencia vs Barcelona Predictions and Betting Tips
23rd May 2026
Valencia welcome Barcelona to town in the La Liga with plenty on the line for both sides. The hosts sit 9th on 46 points while the visitors are 1th on 94 points heading into this one.
Let’s dig into the data on Statz and find the angles that matter.
Lineups and Team News
Valencia (Predicted): Stole Dimitrievski, Unai Núñez, Pepelu, César Tárrega, Jesús Vázquez, Guido Rodríguez, Filip Ugrinic, Luis Rioja, Javi Guerra, Diego López, Hugo Duro
Barcelona (Predicted): Wojciech Szczesny, Eric García, Pau Cubarsí, Gerard Martín, Alejandro Balde, Gavi, Marc Bernal, Raphinha, Dani Olmo, Marcus Rashford, Robert Lewandowski
Recent Form
Valencia come into this with form reading L W L L D W L W D W over their last 10 – that’s W4 D2 L4, scoring 13 and conceding 13.
Barcelona have gone W W W W W W W W L W in their last 10 – W9 D0 L1, 22 scored and 7 conceded.
Statz Projections
Projected scoreline: Valencia 1.26 – 1.76 Barcelona.
The Statz projections model highlights some interesting numbers here.
Umar Sadiq leads Valencia’s projected goal threat at 0.35 xG, with 1.6 projected shots.
In the tackling department, Gavi (FC Barcelona) leads the way with 2.42 projected tackles.
Referee
Adrián Cordero Vega takes charge of this one. Across 19 games this season, he averages 4.0 yellows and 23.5 fouls per match – right around the league average for cards.
Bet Builder
Our Statz Bet Builder has pulled together a four-leg punt at combined odds of 4.69:
- Dimitri Foulquier (Valencia) – 1+ Fouls @ 1.4 – hit in 100% of last 5 (Y/Y/Y/Y/Y), avg 2.2/game
- Raphinha (Barcelona) – 1+ Shots on Target @ 1.29 – hit in 80% of last 5 (Y/Y/N/Y/Y), avg 2.4/game
- Fermín López (Barcelona) – 1+ Shots on Target @ 1.5 – hit in 80% of last 5 (Y/Y/Y/Y/N), avg 1.0/game
- Eray Cömert (Valencia) – 1+ Shots @ 1.73 – hit in 80% of last 5 (N/Y/Y/Y/Y), avg 1.2/game
The Angle
This is a tough one to call. Both sides come in with mixed form and the data doesn’t scream one clear direction. The bet builder legs above are where the value sits – player props grounded in the numbers rather than trying to predict the unpredictable.
For full projections and stats, check out the full head-to-head breakdown on Statz. You can also explore our fixture projections and build your own selections with the Bet Builder Tool.