Elche vs Atletico Madrid Predictions and Betting Tips – 22 April 2026
22nd April 2026
On paper this is Atletico Madrid going to a struggling side – and the form books back that up. But the Statz projections tell a more intriguing story. Elche are 18th in La Liga on 32 points, but the projected scoreline of 1.38 – 1.54 suggests this is genuinely competitive. Atletico sit fourth on 57 points (W17 D6 L8, GD +19) but their recent form has wobbled – W4 D1 L5 in their last ten. Elche have also lost six of their last ten but scored 10 in the process. Worth watching closely.
Lineups and Player News
Statz has 11 predicted players in for Elche and 10 for Atletico Madrid. One Atletico slot is yet to be confirmed. Check the Elche vs Atletico H2H page ahead of kickoff.
Recent Form
Elche have been inconsistent – W2 D2 L6 in their last ten, 10 goals scored and 18 conceded. Andre Silva leads their projected output at 0.39 goals, making him the focal point of their attack in this fixture.
Atletico have been frustratingly inconsistent despite their fourth-place standing. Four wins in the last ten but five defeats too. Alexander Sorloth tops their projections at 0.43 goals – narrowly ahead of Silva from the opposing side.
Player Stats to Watch
Clement Lenglet has been a reliable tackle contributor for Atletico, hitting tackles 1+ in all five of his last games (1.2 avg). At 1.571 with bet365, that is a solid anchor for any SGP. For Elche, defender Pedro Bigas leads the fouls charts with 1.8 per game average and a 100% hit rate over the last five.
Leo Petrot is another Elche defender worth noting – 1.4 fouls per game and a five-from-five recent record on fouls 1+. Andre Silva rounds out the attacking angle with an 80% shots on target hit rate and a last-five form of L/W/W/W/W.
Betting Angles
Referee Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez averages 4.73 yellows and 24.67 fouls per game – one of the busiest books in La Liga. Foul-based SGP legs carry extra value here. The Statz bet builder tool highlights four strong legs:
- Clement Lenglet – Tackles 1+ | 100% hit rate (1.2 avg tackles) | Last 5: W/W/W/W/W | 1.571 (bet365)
- Pedro Bigas – Fouls 1+ | 100% hit rate (1.8 avg fouls) | Last 5: W/W/W/W/W | 1.61 (Ladbrokes)
- Leo Petrot – Fouls 1+ | 100% hit rate (1.4 avg fouls) | Last 5: W/W/W/W/W | 1.55 (Ladbrokes)
- Andre Silva – Shots on Target 1+ | 80% hit rate (1.2 avg SOT) | Last 5: L/W/W/W/W | 1.47 (Stake)
Combined odds: ~5.76
Summary
Atletico should edge this but it is tighter than the standings suggest. The SGP at ~5.76 blends Lenglet tackles, Bigas and Petrot fouls, and Silva shots on target – all backed by recent Statz data. Three of the four legs have 100% hit rates. See the full breakdown on the Elche vs Atletico Madrid H2H page and build your bet on the Statz bet builder.