Bayern vs Stuttgart Predictions and Betting Tips – Sunday 19 April 2025

17th April 2026

Bayern Munich host Stuttgart at the Allianz Arena on Sunday afternoon, and on paper this looks straightforward for the hosts. But Stuttgart have quietly been building some decent form, so let’s dig into the numbers before writing them off entirely.

Check out the full Bayern vs Stuttgart H2H on Statz for the complete head-to-head breakdown.

Lineups and Player News

Bayern line up in a 4-2-3-1 with Manuel Neuer in goal behind a back four of Bischof, Ito, Kim and Laimer. Goretzka and Kimmich anchor the midfield, with Musiala, Guerreiro and Olise in behind Nicolas Jackson up top.

Stuttgart also go 4-2-3-1. Nubel starts in goal, with Mittelstadt, Chabot, Hendriks and Assignon across the back. Stiller and Andres in the double pivot, with Fuhrisch, Tomas and Leweling supporting Demirovic.

Browse the full Bayern Munich team profile on Statz and the Stuttgart team profile for deeper squad context.

Recent Form

Bayern come into this one in excellent shape – W D W W W across their last five. The draw is the only blip in an otherwise dominant run. They look sharp, they look dangerous, and the Allianz Arena is about as tough a place to go as anywhere in European football right now.

Stuttgart’s recent record reads D W W L W. Three wins from five is decent enough, but that defeat looms large when you’re visiting Munich. Their best results have come on home turf, so a trip to Bayern is a different proposition entirely.

See where both sides sit in the Bundesliga standings on Statz.

Statz Projections

The Statz model has a lot to say about this one. Bayern are projected for 3.13 goals, 18.79 shots, 7.37 shots on target, 4.23 corners, 7.23 fouls, 1.38 yellows and 9.67 tackles. That is a dominant performance on paper.

Stuttgart come in considerably lower – 1.27 goals, 9.30 shots, 3.56 SOT, 3.49 corners, 7.01 fouls, 1.49 yellows and 11.92 tackles. The tackles number is interesting – Stuttgart are expected to put a serious defensive shift in, which makes sense given the threat they face.

The goal gap between the two sides is stark. Bayern projected at over 3 goals while Stuttgart sit at 1.27 – that suggests a comfortable home win is the most likely outcome, but Stuttgart may nick something.

Explore all Bundesliga fixture projections on Statz to see how this game compares across the weekend slate.

Bet Builder

The Statz Bet Builder tool has flagged four strong legs for this one, all sitting at 80% hit rate.

Combined price: 8.58

Jackson’s SOT record is hard to ignore – he’s hit the target 3 or more times in four of his last five outings. Goretzka’s recent shot volume has been picking up too. Fuhrisch has been firing for Stuttgart even in defeats, and Bischof will be eager to make an impression against his parent club.

Betting Angles

The headline number here is Bayern’s 3.13 projected goals. That is the kind of output that makes Bayern Over 2.5 goals a serious conversation, and when you pair it with Stuttgart’s relatively modest 1.27 projection, you can make a decent case for Bayern -1.5 on the Asian handicap as well.

Bayern’s shot volume – nearly 19 projected – also makes the over on total shots an interesting avenue. Stuttgart are set for around 9.30, giving a combined projection of over 28 shots in the match. Worth checking your bookmaker’s shot markets if available.

From a card angle, Stuttgart’s high projected tackle count (11.92) in a game where they are chasing the ball against a relentless Bayern side could generate some card action in the second half especially.

Summary

Bayern look the clear favourites and the Statz model backs that up emphatically. The 3.13 projected goals and nearly 19 shots tells you everything about how dominant they are expected to be at home. Stuttgart will fight – they always do under pressure – but this feels like a Bayern afternoon.

The bet builder at 8.58 combined looks the standout angle, with four legs all sitting at 80% hit rates from Statz data.

Full projections and H2H stats available at statz.ai.