Man City vs Villa Predictions and Betting Tips
23rd May 2026
Man City welcome Villa to town in the Premier League with plenty on the line for both sides. The hosts sit 2th on 78 points while the visitors are 4th on 62 points heading into this one.
Let’s dig into the data on Statz and find the angles that matter.
Lineups and Team News
Man City (Predicted): Gianluigi Donnarumma, Matheus Nunes, Abdukodir Khusanov, Marc Guéhi, Nico O’Reilly, Rodri, Antoine Semenyo, Bernardo Silva, Mateo Kovacic, Jérémy Doku, Erling Haaland
Villa (Predicted): Emiliano Martínez, Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Pau Torres, Lucas Digne, Victor Lindelöf, Youri Tielemans, John McGinn, Morgan Rogers, Emiliano Buendía, Ollie Watkins
Recent Form
Man City come into this with form reading W D D W W W D W W D over their last 10 – that’s W6 D4 L0, scoring 20 and conceding 8.
Villa have gone L L L W D W L L D W in their last 10 – W3 D2 L5, 16 scored and 20 conceded.
Statz Projections
Projected scoreline: Man City 2.45 – 1.01 Villa.
The Statz projections model highlights some interesting numbers here.
In the tackling department, Youri Tielemans (Aston Villa) leads the way with 2.46 projected tackles.
Referee
Andrew Madley takes charge of this one. Across 20 games this season, he averages 3.6 yellows and 23.4 fouls per match – right around the league average for cards.
Bet Builder
Our Statz Bet Builder has pulled together a four-leg punt at combined odds of 8.59:
- Ollie Watkins (Villa) – 1+ Fouls @ 1.53 – hit in 100% of last 5 (Y/Y/Y/Y/Y), avg 1.2/game
- Morgan Rogers (Villa) – 1+ Fouls @ 1.2 – hit in 100% of last 5 (Y/Y/Y/Y/Y), avg 1.6/game
- John McGinn (Villa) – 1+ Shots on Target @ 3.25 – hit in 80% of last 5 (Y/Y/Y/Y/N), avg 1.2/game
- Omar Marmoush (Man City) – 1+ Shots on Target @ 1.44 – hit in 80% of last 5 (Y/Y/Y/Y/N), avg 0.8/game
The Angle
Man City’s home form has been strong while Villa have struggled on the road recently. goals have been flowing for both teams recently with a combined average of 3.2 per game across their last 10 each.
For full projections and stats, check out the full head-to-head breakdown on Statz. You can also explore our fixture projections and build your own selections with the Bet Builder Tool.