Brighton vs Man Utd Predictions and Betting Tips
23rd May 2026
Brighton welcome Man Utd to town in the Premier League with plenty on the line for both sides. The hosts sit 7th on 53 points while the visitors are 3th on 68 points heading into this one.
Let’s dig into the data on Statz and find the angles that matter.
Lineups and Team News
Brighton (Predicted): Bart Verbruggen, Joël Veltman, Jan Paul van Hecke, Lewis Dunk, Maxim De Cuyper, Carlos Baleba, Pascal Groß, Ferdi Kadıoğlu, Jack Hinshelwood, Yankuba Minteh, Danny Welbeck
Man Utd (Predicted): Senne Lammens, Diogo Dalot, Harry Maguire, Lisandro Martínez, Luke Shaw, Manuel Ugarte, Kobbie Mainoo, Amad Diallo, Bruno Fernandes, Matheus Cunha, Bryan Mbeumo
Recent Form
Brighton come into this with form reading W L W W W D W L W L over their last 10 – that’s W6 D1 L3, scoring 16 and conceding 9.
Man Utd have gone W L W D L W W W D W in their last 10 – W6 D2 L2, 18 scored and 13 conceded.
Statz Projections
Projected scoreline: Brighton 1.67 – 1.32 Man Utd.
The Statz projections model highlights some interesting numbers here.
In the tackling department, Casemiro (Manchester United) leads the way with 2.49 projected tackles.
Referee
Samuel Barrott takes charge of this one. Across 23 games this season, he averages 3.9 yellows and 19.4 fouls per match – right around the league average for cards.
Bet Builder
Our Statz Bet Builder has pulled together a four-leg punt at combined odds of 3.04:
- Matheus Cunha (Man Utd) – 1+ Shots on Target @ 1.5 – hit in 100% of last 5 (Y/Y/Y/Y/Y), avg 1.2/game
- Luke Shaw (Man Utd) – 1+ Fouls @ 1.25 – hit in 100% of last 5 (Y/Y/Y/Y/Y), avg 1.8/game
- Yasin Ayari (Brighton) – 1+ Fouls @ 1.33 – hit in 100% of last 5 (Y/Y/Y/Y/Y), avg 1.8/game
- Danny Welbeck (Brighton) – 1+ Shots on Target @ 1.22 – hit in 80% of last 5 (Y/Y/N/Y/Y), avg 1.4/game
The Angle
This is a tough one to call. Both sides come in with mixed form and the data doesn’t scream one clear direction. The bet builder legs above are where the value sits – player props grounded in the numbers rather than trying to predict the unpredictable.
For full projections and stats, check out the full head-to-head breakdown on Statz. You can also explore our fixture projections and build your own selections with the Bet Builder Tool.