Newcastle vs West Ham Predictions & Betting Tips – Premier League
16th May 2026
Late kick-off on Sunday and it’s a proper one. Newcastle at home – 1.97 goals projected, 5.43 SOT, 6.29 corners. That’s a team with serious attacking intent at St James’ Park. West Ham project at 1.31 goals and 3.50 SOT – they can score but they’re giving up space. Newcastle’s form reads LLWWLLLLWD from the last 10 – inconsistent but still dangerous at home.
Newcastle line up with Pope; Hall, Botman, Thiaw, Burn; Tonali, Bruno Guimaraes; Murphy, Joelinton, Ramsey; with Osula or Woltemade up top. Plenty of goal threat spread across the team.
West Ham go with Hermansen; Disasi, Mavropanos, Todibo, Wan-Bissaka; Mateus Fernandes, Soucek, Diouf; Bowen, Summerville; Castellanos. West Ham’s form reads DLWDLWDWLL – they’ve drawn a lot and haven’t been consistent enough.
Key Players to Watch
Harvey Barnes leads Newcastle’s shot projection at 2.93 shots and 1.02 SOT – the winger has been quietly excellent and could be crucial to unlocking a West Ham defence that commits 11.43 fouls per game. Anthony Gordon chips in with 2.60 shots and 1.06 SOT projected, plus 1.64 fouls drawn – he’ll be winning free kicks and getting into good areas.
William Osula projects 2.60 shots and 1.21 SOT – the young striker is in form and looks a real threat. Bruno Guimaraes from deep contributes 1.76 shots and 0.79 SOT, plus he draws 2.31 fouls per game – instrumental to everything Newcastle do.
For West Ham, Taty Castellanos projects 2.21 shots and 0.89 SOT with 1.63 fouls projected. He’s physical, he runs channels. Jarrod Bowen adds 2.09 shots and 0.71 SOT – the England international is always a creative outlet. Crysencio Summerville draws 1.91 fouls per game while also committing 1.81 – he’s lively in both directions.
Bet Builder – 4 Legs – Ladbrokes 4.42x
The Statz Bet Builder highlights a four-legger at 4.42x combined on Ladbrokes – and every leg hit 100% of the last five games:
- Taty Castellanos 1+ SOT – 100% last 5, Ladbrokes 1.53
- Fabian Schar 1+ shots – 100% last 5, Ladbrokes 1.65
- Jacob Ramsey 1+ shots – 100% last 5, Ladbrokes 1.25
- Pablo Felipe 1+ tackles – 100% last 5 (avg 2.4 per game), Ladbrokes 1.40
Place it directly: 4-leg Ladbrokes Bet Builder – 4.42x
Or build your own at statz.ai/bet-builder-tool.
The Angle
Newcastle project 6.29 corners – the highest in Sunday’s slate. West Ham concede a lot of set-piece opportunities. With Joelinton projecting 1.81 fouls per game, this could easily turn into a feisty one. West Ham’s 11.43 fouls projected is notably high – the yellow card markets look interesting with 2.24 projected for the visitors.
Check the full Newcastle vs West Ham H2H page and Premier League projections on Statz for the full picture.