Everton vs Sunderland Predictions & Betting Tips – Premier League
16th May 2026
Goodison on a Saturday afternoon. Everton hosting newly-promoted Sunderland in what looks a decent matchup on paper. Statz has the Toffees at 1.69 goals and 4.78 SOT – they’re the favourites here and the numbers back it up. Sunderland project at 1.02 goals and 2.92 SOT. Everton should edge this one at home.
Everton line up with Pickford; O’Brien, Tarkowski, Keane, Mykolenko; Iroegbunam, Garner, Rohl; Dewsbury-Hall; Ndiaye and Beto or Barry leading the line. Plenty of options in the final third.
Sunderland go with Roefs; Geertruida, Alderete, Mandava, Mukiele; Le Fee, Xhaka, Sadiki, Diarra; Talbi and Brobbey up top. The visitors project at 9.91 fouls and 1.59 yellows – they’ll make it physical if nothing else.
Key Players to Watch
Beto is the main man for Everton – 2.77 shots, 1.05 SOT and 0.54 projected goals. That’s a strong number. He also contributes 1.22 fouls drawn, making him a set-piece threat too. Thierno Barry offers a credible alternative with 2.25 shots and 0.93 SOT projected.
Iliman Ndiaye projects 1.88 shots and 0.86 SOT – the Senegalese winger is capable of something special on his day. Dewsbury-Hall chips in with 1.87 shots and 0.71 SOT from a deeper position.
For Sunderland, Brian Brobbey is the danger man – 1.03 shots, 0.49 SOT and 1.32 fouls projected. He’ll cause problems with his physicality even if the goal threat is limited. James Garner in midfield is worth noting for tackles – 2.56 projected. Tim Iroegbunam tops that with 2.99 tackles projected for Everton’s engine room.
Bet Builder Suggestions
The numbers from Statz’s bet builder tool point to a few solid angles here:
- Beto 1+ SOT – 1.05 projected, in form and leading the line for Everton
- Iliman Ndiaye 1+ shots – 1.88 shots projected, dangerous from wide
- Tim Iroegbunam 3+ tackles – 2.99 projected, the midfielder is a workhouse
- Brian Brobbey 1+ fouls – 1.32 projected, the big striker will be causing trouble all game
Run the full build yourself at statz.ai/bet-builder-tool for the latest hit rates.
The Angle
Everton’s 5.03 corners projection is solid home form – and with Tarkowski and Keane in the box from set pieces, that’s worth noting for anyone fancying a corners bet. Sunderland’s foul count (9.91 projected) means there’ll be free kicks in decent areas too.
Check the full Premier League projections on Statz and the PL competition page before placing.