Liverpool vs Chelsea Predictions and Betting Tips – 9 May 2026

8th May 2026

Chelsea travel to Anfield on Saturday lunchtime in the kind of form that makes their away record look even worse than it sounds. Liverpool sit 4th and are desperate for points in the top-four race. Chelsea are 9th, have won once in their last ten on the road, and are shipping goals at an alarming rate. This one looks heavily one-sided on paper – but football rarely cares about paper.

Lineups and Player News

Predicted lineups are sourced from the Liverpool vs Chelsea H2H page on Statz. Liverpool head into this with a settled side and a full house behind them at Anfield. Chelsea have had rotation issues and their defensive record away from Stamford Bridge – 20 goals conceded in their last 10 away games – tells its own story.

Check the latest team news for Liverpool and Chelsea ahead of kick-off.

Recent Form

Liverpool are W6 D1 L3 across their last 10, scoring 19 and conceding 12. They have been solid at home and will see this as a must-win in the top-four battle. Chelsea away is the real talking point – DDLWLLLLLL, picking up just one win in ten on the road with 20 goals conceded and only 9 scored. Dreadful form by any measure.

The full head-to-head record and recent form is available on Statz ahead of Saturday’s 12:30pm BST kick-off.

Interesting Player Stats

Alexander Isak tops the SOT projections for this fixture with 0.98 shots on target and 1.99 shots expected overall. He is Liverpool’s most consistent attacking threat and will fancy his chances against a Chelsea backline that has looked all at sea on the road this season.

Cole Palmer is Chelsea’s best hope, projecting 0.94 SOT and 2.08 shots. If anyone drags Chelsea into this game it is him – but he needs service, and their away performances have been too disjointed to rely on that.

Mohamed Salah projects 0.85 SOT and the third-highest shot volume in the game at 2.25. He has the movement and pace to punish Chelsea’s defensive shape from the off.

Joao Pedro offers Chelsea a physical option up front, projecting 0.77 SOT, though his 0.99 fouls per game expected could attract early referee attention.

Betting Angles

Referee Craig Pawson averages 21.16 fouls and 2.74 yellow cards per game – not the most card-happy official, but there will be plenty of fouls. Chelsea tend to get physical when under pressure away from home and expect niggly moments in the second half.

The Statz bet builder data has flagged four solid legs for this one:

Combined price: 9.70

Szoboszlai is the standout – a perfect five-from-five hit rate at a very reasonable price. Van Dijk has been cropping up with shots from set pieces all season and 1.80 is fair. Chalobah at 2.60 is what stretches the combination price into attractive territory.

Summary and Suggestions

Liverpool at home against Chelsea in this form is about as clear-cut as the Premier League gets. Statz projections back the Reds across the board – Isak and Salah project well, and Chelsea are going to struggle to contain both for 90 minutes. The bet builder combination at 9.70 is worth a small stake given the individual hit rates. If you are playing it straight, Liverpool to win with Isak to have a shot on target is the clean angle.

All live projections and bet builder data are on the Liverpool vs Chelsea Statz page.