Parma vs Sassuolo Predictions and Betting Tips
23rd May 2026
Parma welcome Sassuolo to town in the Serie A with plenty on the line for both sides. The hosts sit 13th on 42 points while the visitors are 11th on 49 points heading into this one.
Let’s dig into the data on Statz and find the angles that matter.
Lineups and Team News
Parma (Predicted): Zion Suzuki, Alessandro Circati, Mariano Troilo, Lautaro Valenti, Enrico Delprato, Christian Ordóñez, Mandela Keita, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, Franco Carboni, Mateo Pellegrino, Gabriel Strefezza
Sassuolo (Predicted): Stefano Turati, Woyo Coulibaly, Pedro Felipe, Tarik Muharemović, Ulisses Garcia, Kristian Thorstvedt, Nemanja Matic, Ismaël Koné, Domenico Berardi, M’Bala Nzola, Armand Laurienté
Recent Form
Parma come into this with form reading D L L D D W W L L L over their last 10 – that’s W2 D3 L5, scoring 7 and conceding 14.
Sassuolo have gone L L D W L W D W L L in their last 10 – W3 D2 L5, 12 scored and 13 conceded.
Statz Projections
Projected scoreline: Parma 1.14 – 1.27 Sassuolo.
The Statz projections model highlights some interesting numbers here.
Mateo Pellegrino leads Parma’s projected goal threat at 0.35 xG, with 2.2 projected shots.
For Sassuolo, Andrea Pinamonti tops the projections at 0.33 xG and 2.2 projected shots.
In the tackling department, Mandela Keita (Parma) leads the way with 1.60 projected tackles.
Referee
Niccolò Turrini takes charge of this one. Across 0 games this season, he averages 0.0 yellows and 0.0 fouls per match – a relatively lenient official when it comes to the card count.
Bet Builder
Our Statz Bet Builder has pulled together a four-leg punt at combined odds of 3.09:
- Darryl Bakola (Sassuolo) – 1+ Shots @ 1.18 – hit in 100% of last 5 (Y/Y/Y/Y), avg 1.0/game
- Armand Laurienté (Sassuolo) – 1+ Tackles @ 1.57 – hit in 100% of last 5 (Y/Y/Y/Y/Y), avg 1.4/game
- Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (Parma) – 2+ Tackles @ 1.67 – hit in 80% of last 5 (Y/Y/Y/N/Y), avg 1.8/game
The Angle
Neither side can string wins together right now, making this a proper coin toss.
For full projections and stats, check out the full head-to-head breakdown on Statz. You can also explore our fixture projections and build your own selections with the Bet Builder Tool.