Lecce vs Genoa Predictions and Betting Tips
23rd May 2026
Lecce welcome Genoa to town in the Serie A with plenty on the line for both sides. The hosts sit 17th on 35 points while the visitors are 15th on 41 points heading into this one.
Let’s dig into the data on Statz and find the angles that matter.
Lineups and Team News
Lecce (Predicted): Wladimiro Falcone, Danilo Veiga, Jamil Siebert, Tiago Gabriel, Antonino Gallo, Ylber Ramadani, Oumar Ngom, Santiago Pierotti, Lassana Coulibaly, Lameck Banda, Walid Cheddira
Genoa (Predicted): Justin Bijlow, Mikael Egill Ellertsson, Sebastian Otoa, Alessandro Marcandalli, Johan Vásquez, Alexsandro Amorim de Freitas Filho, Morten Frendrup, Tommaso Baldanzi, Ruslan Malinovskyi, Caleb Ekuban, Lorenzo Colombo
Recent Form
Lecce come into this with form reading W L L L L D D W L W over their last 10 – that’s W3 D2 L5, scoring 9 and conceding 14.
Genoa have gone W W L L W W L D D L in their last 10 – W4 D2 L4, 9 scored and 11 conceded.
Statz Projections
Projected scoreline: Lecce 1.26 – 1.26 Genoa.
The Statz projections model highlights some interesting numbers here.
Omri Gandelman leads Lecce’s projected goal threat at 0.33 xG, with 1.2 projected shots.
For Genoa, Lorenzo Colombo tops the projections at 0.24 xG and 1.8 projected shots.
In the tackling department, Patrizio Masini (Genoa) leads the way with 2.98 projected tackles.
Referee
Daniele Doveri takes charge of this one. Across 18 games this season, he averages 3.5 yellows and 24.1 fouls per match – right around the league average for cards.
Bet Builder
Our Statz Bet Builder has pulled together a four-leg punt at combined odds of 4.98:
- Walid Cheddira (Lecce) – 1+ Shots on Target @ 1.44 – hit in 100% of last 5 (Y/Y/Y/Y/Y), avg 1.4/game
- Álex Sala (Lecce) – 1+ Shots @ 1.57 – hit in 100% of last 5 (Y/Y/Y/Y/Y), avg 3.0/game
- Lassana Coulibaly (Lecce) – 1+ Shots @ 1.36 – hit in 80% of last 5 (N/Y/Y/Y/Y), avg 1.0/game
- Gaby Jean (Lecce) – 1+ Tackles @ 1.62 – hit in 80% of last 5 (Y/Y/Y/Y/N), avg 1.0/game
The Angle
This is a tough one to call. Both sides come in with mixed form and the data doesn’t scream one clear direction. The bet builder legs above are where the value sits – player props grounded in the numbers rather than trying to predict the unpredictable.
For full projections and stats, check out the full head-to-head breakdown on Statz. You can also explore our fixture projections and build your own selections with the Bet Builder Tool.